Projected Income Statement: TOTO LTD.

Forecast Balance Sheet: TOTO LTD.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -45,369 -52,498 -30,205 -35,659 -54,877 -34,374 -29,032 -37,372
Change - -15.71% 42.46% -18.06% -53.89% 37.36% 15.54% -28.73%
Announcement Date 4/28/21 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TOTO LTD.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 38,737 30,121 65,664 51,130 38,383 58,500 59,325 59,833
Change - -22.24% 118% -22.13% -24.93% 52.41% 1.41% 0.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 16,929 19,235 -34,085 22,521 32,998 18,797 22,632 26,440
Change - 13.62% -277.2% 166.07% 46.52% -43.04% 20.4% 16.83%
Announcement Date 4/28/21 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TOTO LTD.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.46% 12.26% 11.49% 10.95% 11.53% 11.6% 12.83% 13.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.12% 8.09% 7.01% 6.09% 6.69% 6.96% 8.19% 8.5%
EBT Margin (%) 6.72% 8.97% 8.55% 7.72% 3.36% 6.47% 8.54% 8.74%
Net margin (%) 4.68% 6.22% 5.55% 5.3% 1.68% 4.25% 5.82% 5.99%
FCF margin (%) 2.91% 2.98% -4.86% 3.21% 4.55% 2.52% 2.95% 3.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) 62.24% 47.93% -87.53% 60.55% 271.19% 59.26% 50.65% 56.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.72% 8.83% 7.98% 6.77% 6.28% 5.1% 6.48% 6.19%
ROE 7.8% 10.4% 9.1% 7.8% 2.4% 6.05% 8.42% 8.44%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.67% 4.67% 9.36% 7.28% 5.3% 7.85% 7.73% 7.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 58.18% 38.07% 81.54% 66.49% 45.97% 67.61% 60.26% 57.06%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 228.82% 156.59% -192.65% 227.03% 116.32% 311.22% 262.13% 226.3%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 309.5 395.7 414.9 420.6 278.1 280 516.6 492.2
Change - 27.85% 4.86% 1.36% -33.86% 0.66% 84.53% -4.72%
Dividend per Share 1 70 95 100 100 100 100 110.7 114.9
Change - 35.71% 5.26% 0% 0% 0% 10.67% 3.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,164 2,391 2,674 2,962 3,077 3,176 3,366 3,551
Change - 10.51% 11.83% 10.77% 3.88% 3.22% 5.96% 5.52%
EPS 1 160.6 236.7 229.7 219.3 71.73 188.4 268.2 282.1
Change - 47.46% -2.99% -4.51% -67.29% 162.67% 42.35% 5.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 169,445 169,528 169,573 169,618 169,655 167,514 167,514 167,514
Announcement Date 4/28/21 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 19.5x 13.7x
PBR 1.16x 1.09x
EV / Sales 0.78x 0.77x
Yield 2.72% 3.01%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
3,680.00JPY
Average target price
4,212.22JPY
Spread / Average Target
+14.46%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise