Projected Income Statement: Toyota Motor Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Toyota Motor Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,343,321 20,382,703 21,863,307 27,149,720 22,874,716 27,705,123 29,710,485 30,167,010
Change - 24.72% 7.26% 24.18% -15.75% 21.12% 7.24% 1.54%
Announcement Date 5/12/21 5/11/22 5/10/23 5/8/24 5/8/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Toyota Motor Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,293,200 1,197,266 1,605,800 4,848,042 2,134,800 2,314,772 2,309,286 2,352,857
Change - -7.42% 34.12% 201.91% -55.97% 8.43% -0.24% 1.89%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,433,962 3,145,119 1,504,880 2,359,926 1,562,130 2,551,549 1,773,058 1,875,188
Change - 119.33% -52.15% 56.82% -33.81% 63.34% -30.51% 5.76%
Announcement Date 5/12/21 5/11/22 5/10/23 5/8/24 5/8/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Toyota Motor Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.3% 12.76% 12.82% 16.5% 12.82% 11.51% 12.31% 12.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.08% 9.55% 7.33% 11.87% 9.98% 7.79% 8.69% 8.99%
EBT Margin (%) 10.77% 12.72% 9.87% 15.45% 13.35% 9.7% 10.71% 10.95%
Net margin (%) 8.25% 9.08% 6.6% 10.97% 9.92% 6.72% 7.59% 7.81%
FCF margin (%) 5.27% 10.02% 4.05% 5.23% 3.25% 5.08% 3.41% 3.5%
FCF / Net Income (%) 63.87% 110.35% 61.39% 47.72% 32.78% 75.52% 44.95% 44.83%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.1% 6.14% 5.17% 8.47% 6.98% 4.01% 4.46% 4.59%
ROE 10.2% 11.5% 9% 15.8% 13.6% 9.75% 10.53% 10.64%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.32x 5.09x 4.59x 3.65x 3.72x 4.79x 4.64x 4.43x
Debt / Free cash flow 11.4x 6.48x 14.53x 11.5x 14.64x 10.86x 16.76x 16.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.75% 3.82% 4.32% 10.75% 4.44% 4.61% 4.44% 4.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 42.06% 29.91% 33.7% 65.16% 34.68% 40.01% 36.07% 34.51%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 90.18% 38.07% 106.71% 205.43% 136.66% 90.72% 130.24% 125.47%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 278.3 336.4 328.8 520.4 529.4 500.8 495.4 527.1
Change - 20.89% -2.26% 58.26% 1.74% -5.4% -1.08% 6.38%
Dividend per Share 1 48 52 60 75 90 95.56 109.8 118.3
Change - 8.33% 15.38% 25% 20% 6.17% 14.93% 7.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,674 1,905 2,089 2,540 2,753 2,921 3,151 3,375
Change - 13.78% 9.67% 21.57% 8.4% 6.1% 7.86% 7.12%
EPS 1 160.6 205.2 179.5 365.9 359.6 271.3 327.1 353.4
Change - 27.75% -12.55% 103.9% -1.74% -24.56% 20.59% 8.06%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,979,777 13,782,503 13,565,182 13,478,395 13,062,407 13,033,389 13,033,389 13,033,389
Announcement Date 5/12/21 5/11/22 5/10/23 5/8/24 5/8/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 11.5x 9.51x
PBR 1.06x 0.99x
EV / Sales 1.36x 1.35x
Yield 3.07% 3.53%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
3,260.00JPY
Average target price
3,415.88JPY
Spread / Average Target
+4.78%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 7203 Stock
  4. Financials Toyota Motor Corporation