Projected Income Statement: Travel + Leisure Co.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Travel + Leisure Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,988 3,010 3,119 3,293 3,301 3,217 3,083 2,951
Change - 0.74% 3.62% 5.58% 0.24% -2.54% -4.17% -4.28%
Announcement Date 2/24/21 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Travel + Leisure Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 69 57 52 74 81 91.18 91.5 68
Change - -17.39% -8.77% 42.31% 9.46% 12.56% 0.36% -25.68%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 305 223 390 379 446 494.2 554.1 560
Change - -26.89% 74.89% -2.82% 17.68% 10.81% 12.11% 1.07%
Announcement Date 2/24/21 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Travel + Leisure Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.99% 24.82% 24.08% 24.21% 24.04% 24.39% 24.65% 24.67%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.16% 20.87% 21% 21.49% 21.33% 20.4% 20.73% 21.19%
EBT Margin (%) -12.78% 13.69% 13.62% 12.93% 13.28% 14.21% 15.03% 14.48%
Net margin (%) -11.81% 9.83% 10.01% 10.56% 10.64% 10.19% 11.04% 10.28%
FCF margin (%) 14.12% 7.12% 10.93% 10.11% 11.54% 12.37% 13.3% 13.06%
FCF / Net Income (%) -119.61% 72.4% 109.24% 95.71% 108.52% 121.35% 120.4% 126.98%

Profitability

        
ROA -3.38% 4.34% 5.35% 6.33% 6.03% 9.03% 8.98% -
ROE - - - - - - - -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.54x 3.87x 3.63x 3.63x 3.55x 3.3x 3x 2.79x
Debt / Free cash flow 9.8x 13.5x 8x 8.69x 7.4x 6.51x 5.57x 5.27x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.19% 1.82% 1.46% 1.97% 2.1% 2.28% 2.2% 1.59%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.64% 7.33% 6.05% 8.15% 8.72% 9.35% 8.91% 6.43%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.62% 25.56% 13.33% 19.53% 18.16% 18.45% 16.51% 12.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.344 6.506 5.249 4.667 6.563 9.277 9.663 -
Change - 49.78% -19.32% -11.1% 40.63% 41.36% 4.16% -
Dividend per Share 1 1.6 1.25 1.6 1.8 2 2.262 2.303 2.378
Change - -21.88% 28% 12.5% 11.11% 13.08% 1.84% 3.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 -11.35 -9.175 -11.65 -12.24 - -14.26 -13.91 -
Change - 19.16% -26.93% -5.1% - - 2.45% -
EPS 1 -2.97 3.52 4.24 5.28 5.82 6.095 7.24 7
Change - 218.52% 20.45% 24.53% 10.23% 4.72% 18.8% -3.32%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 85,865 86,356 81,161 72,420 68,342 64,329 64,329 64,329
Announcement Date 2/24/21 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12.1x 10.1x
PBR -5.15x -5.28x
EV / Sales 1.99x 1.87x
Yield 3.08% 3.14%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
73.46USD
Average target price
75.75USD
Spread / Average Target
+3.12%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TNL Stock
  4. Financials Travel + Leisure Co.