Projected Income Statement: Alma Media Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alma Media Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 23.7 -9.1 182 143 146 142 128 117
Change - -138.4% 1,900% -21.43% 2.1% -2.54% -9.86% -8.59%
Announcement Date 2/14/20 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/16/23 2/16/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alma Media Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 1.5 3.7 4.3 9.4 9.6 17.47 11.37 12.25
Change - 146.67% 16.22% 118.6% 2.13% 81.94% -34.92% 7.77%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 70.3 52.3 71.3 69.8 53.4 52.4 63.4 67.65
Change - -25.6% 36.33% -2.1% -23.5% -1.87% 20.99% 6.7%
Announcement Date 2/14/20 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/16/23 2/16/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alma Media Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.26% 26.41% 26.69% 31.48% 29.71% 28.63% 29.77% 30.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.99% 19.72% 22.19% 23.77% 24.14% 23.63% 24.57% 25.53%
EBT Margin (%) 17.31% 18.33% 20.44% 27.98% 22.47% 21.41% 22.84% 24.45%
Net margin (%) 12.32% 40.53% 15.83% 23.28% 18.47% 17.17% 18.13% 19.44%
FCF margin (%) 20.53% 22.72% 25.89% 22.6% 17.51% 16.78% 19.71% 20.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) 166.59% 56.06% 163.53% 97.08% 94.85% 97.7% 108.72% 105.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.31% 25.61% 10.23% 14.19% 11.02% - - -
ROE 25% 48.7% 23.9% 38.6% 26.3% 23.48% 23.63% 24.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.29x - 2.47x 1.47x 1.61x 1.59x 1.34x 1.17x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.34x - 2.55x 2.04x 2.73x 2.71x 2.02x 1.73x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.44% 1.61% 1.56% 3.04% 3.15% 5.59% 3.53% 3.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 1.81% 6.09% 5.85% 9.67% 10.6% 19.54% 11.87% 12.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2.13% 7.07% 6.03% 13.47% 17.98% 33.33% 17.93% 18.11%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.87 0.68 0.92 0.96 0.77 0.95 0.96 -
Change - -21.84% 35.29% 4.35% -19.79% 23.38% 1.05% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.4 0.3 0.35 0.44 0.45 0.4617 0.48 0.5025
Change - -25% 16.67% 25.71% 2.27% 2.59% 3.97% 4.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.09 2.23 1.99 2.48 2.67 2.875 3.119 3.474
Change - 6.7% -10.76% 24.62% 7.66% 7.66% 8.52% 11.37%
EPS 1 0.5 1.11 0.52 0.86 0.67 0.648 0.7044 0.7741
Change - 122% -53.15% 65.38% -22.09% -3.28% 8.7% 9.89%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 82,183 82,262 82,213 82,185 82,073 82,229 82,229 82,229
Announcement Date 2/14/20 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/16/23 2/16/24 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 17.1x 15.8x
PBR 3.86x 3.56x
EV / Sales 3.38x 3.24x
Yield 4.16% 4.32%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
11.10EUR
Average target price
11.87EUR
Spread / Average Target
+6.91%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ALMA Stock
  4. Financials Alma Media Oyj
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