Projected Income Statement: Amgen Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Amgen Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 22,339 25,272 29,640 53,669 48,126 44,574 39,275 33,502
Change - 13.13% 17.28% 81.07% -10.33% -7.38% -11.89% -14.7%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/7/22 1/31/23 2/6/24 2/4/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Amgen Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 608 880 936 1,112 1,096 2,217 1,755 1,688
Change - 44.74% 6.36% 18.8% -1.44% 102.24% -20.83% -3.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 9,889 8,381 8,785 7,359 10,394 8,385 14,193 12,910
Change - -15.25% 4.82% -16.23% 41.24% -19.33% 69.27% -9.04%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/7/22 1/31/23 2/6/24 2/4/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Amgen Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 62.68% 60.9% 61.46% 61.97% 61.69% 58.21% 54.69% 54.38%
EBIT Margin (%) 48.51% 47.82% 48.48% 47.53% 44.96% 43.56% 43.52% 43.52%
EBT Margin (%) 31.99% 25.79% 27.91% 27.86% 13.79% 28.53% 25.52% 28.6%
Net margin (%) 28.57% 22.68% 24.89% 23.83% 12.24% 20.22% 20.01% 22.3%
FCF margin (%) 38.9% 32.26% 33.37% 26.11% 31.1% 23.08% 38.51% 34.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 136.14% 142.22% 134.08% 109.56% 254.13% 114.16% 192.46% 153.3%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.97% 15.79% 15.16% 12.37% 11.36% 9.74% 10.37% 11.31%
ROE 102.66% 121.63% 184.73% 202.85% 177.29% 161.3% 107.25% 95.63%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.4x 1.6x 1.83x 3.07x 2.33x 2.11x 1.95x 1.63x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.26x 3.02x 3.37x 7.29x 4.63x 5.32x 2.77x 2.59x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.39% 3.39% 3.56% 3.94% 3.28% 6.1% 4.76% 4.47%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.82% 5.56% 5.79% 6.37% 5.32% 10.48% 8.71% 8.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 6.15% 10.5% 10.65% 15.11% 10.54% 26.43% 12.36% 13.07%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 17.79 16.16 17.97 15.75 21.24 20.48 23.21 23.96
Change - -9.16% 11.18% -12.37% 34.89% -3.59% 13.37% 3.2%
Dividend per Share 1 6.4 7.04 7.76 8.52 9 9.555 10.09 10.64
Change - 10% 10.23% 9.79% 5.63% 6.17% 5.58% 5.46%
Book Value Per Share 1 16.28 12.01 6.856 11.65 10.94 16.55 21.41 27.62
Change - -26.24% -42.9% 69.91% -6.05% 51.22% 29.38% 29%
EPS 1 12.31 10.28 12.11 12.49 7.56 13.09 13.78 15.57
Change - -16.49% 17.8% 3.14% -39.47% 73.12% 5.3% 12.95%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 582,169 563,266 533,579 535,178 537,533 538,481 538,481 538,481
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/7/22 1/31/23 2/6/24 2/4/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 26.4x 25.1x
PBR 20.9x 16.1x
EV / Sales 6.35x 6.11x
Yield 2.77% 2.92%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
32
Last Close Price
345.42USD
Average target price
324.25USD
Spread / Average Target
-6.13%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise