Projected Income Statement: Assa Abloy AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 27,071 31,732 64,109 70,253 - 57,088 50,152 41,702
Change - 17.22% 102.03% 9.58% - - -12.15% -16.85%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,629 1,990 2,419 2,063 2,801 2,915 3,012
Change - 22.16% 21.56% -14.72% - 4.09% 3.33%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,827 12,367 18,875 19,328 18,563 20,102 21,836
Change - 14.22% 52.62% 2.4% - 8.29% 8.63%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.97% 18.73% 19.44% 19.94% 20.17% 20.58% 20.76% 20.93%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.93% 15.34% 15.77% 16.18% 16.18% 16.73% 16.93% 17.06%
EBT Margin (%) 14.25% 14.5% 13.68% 13.91% 13.01% 14.79% 15.36% 15.77%
Net margin (%) 11.47% 11% 9.69% 10.41% 9.65% 11.06% 11.48% 11.8%
FCF margin (%) 11.4% 10.24% 13.41% 12.87% - 11.94% 12.04% 12.37%
FCF / Net Income (%) 99.32% 93.05% 138.45% 123.59% - 107.96% 104.89% 104.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.81% 9.34% 7.77% 7.45% - 8.12% 8.71% 9.2%
ROE 16.97% 17.08% 15.35% 16.2% - 16.16% 16.38% 16.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.5x 1.4x 2.34x 2.35x - 1.78x 1.45x 1.13x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.5x 2.57x 3.4x 3.63x - 3.08x 2.49x 1.91x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.71% 1.65% 1.72% 1.37% - 1.8% 1.75% 1.71%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.04% 8.8% 8.84% 6.89% - 8.75% 8.41% 8.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 15.05% 16.09% 12.82% 10.67% - 15.09% 14.5% 13.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.21 12.93 19.17 19.26 - 18.58 20.65 21.93
Change - 15.31% 48.22% 0.49% - - 11.13% 6.23%
Dividend per Share 1 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.9 6.4 6.801 7.526 8.223
Change - 14.29% 12.5% 9.26% 8.47% 6.26% 10.67% 9.26%
Book Value Per Share 1 62.64 77.44 82.49 96.39 - 100.4 110.7 122.4
Change - 23.63% 6.52% 16.85% - - 10.25% 10.57%
EPS 1 9.81 11.97 12.27 14.08 13.23 15.55 17.27 18.71
Change - 22.02% 2.51% 14.75% -6.04% 17.52% 11.07% 8.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 23.4x 21x
PBR 3.62x 3.28x
EV / Sales 2.96x 2.72x
Yield 1.87% 2.07%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
363.40SEK
Average target price
397.89SEK
Spread / Average Target
+9.49%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ASSA B Stock
  4. Financials Assa Abloy AB