|
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 20.10 USD | -1.93% |
|
+2.68% | -1.98% |
Projected Income Statement: Harley-Davidson, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 3,264 | 4,540 | 4,888 | 4,845 | 4,122 | 3,683 | 3,750 | 3,897 |
| Change | - | 39.1% | 7.65% | -0.88% | -14.92% | -10.66% | 1.82% | 3.92% |
| EBITDA 1 | 349.9 | 992 | 1,061 | 1,035 | 577.3 | 773 | 415.4 | 504.3 |
| Change | - | 183.56% | 6.92% | -2.38% | -44.24% | 33.9% | -46.26% | 21.41% |
| EBIT 1 | 164.1 | 826.9 | 908.7 | 779.1 | 416.6 | 578.5 | 208.6 | 300.8 |
| Change | - | 403.75% | 9.9% | -14.27% | -46.52% | 38.86% | -63.94% | 44.17% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -31.12 | -30.97 | -31.24 | -31.24 | -30.75 | -33.95 | -29.6 | -34 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -15.73 | 819.2 | 931.2 | 866.9 | 517.1 | 633.9 | 278.7 | 372.9 |
| Change | - | 5,308.12% | 13.67% | -6.91% | -40.34% | 22.58% | -56.03% | 33.79% |
| Net income 1 | 1.298 | 650 | 741 | 706.6 | 455.4 | 491.3 | 211.2 | 292.5 |
| Change | - | 49,978.89% | 14% | -4.64% | -35.56% | 7.89% | -57.01% | 38.46% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/21 | 2/8/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/5/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Harley-Davidson, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 5,730 | 4,886 | 5,717 | 5,487 | 5,235 | 782 | 1,793 | 2,451 |
| Change | - | -14.73% | 17.01% | -4.02% | -4.59% | -85.06% | 129.28% | 36.7% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/21 | 2/8/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/5/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Harley-Davidson, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 131 | 120.2 | 151.7 | 207.4 | 196.6 | 182.2 | 207.8 | 218.5 |
| Change | - | -8.29% | 26.2% | 36.75% | -5.23% | -7.33% | 14.08% | 5.15% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,047 | 855.5 | 396.8 | 547.5 | 867.3 | 842.7 | 424.6 | - |
| Change | - | -18.28% | -53.62% | 37.98% | 58.41% | -2.83% | -49.62% | -100% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/21 | 2/8/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/5/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Harley-Davidson, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 10.72% | 21.85% | 21.7% | 21.37% | 14.01% | 20.99% | 11.08% | 12.94% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 5.03% | 18.21% | 18.59% | 16.08% | 10.11% | 15.71% | 5.56% | 7.72% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -0.48% | 18.04% | 19.05% | 17.89% | 12.55% | 17.21% | 7.43% | 9.57% |
| Net margin (%) | 0.04% | 14.32% | 15.16% | 14.59% | 11.05% | 13.34% | 5.63% | 7.51% |
| FCF margin (%) | 32.07% | 18.84% | 8.12% | 11.3% | 21.04% | 22.88% | 11.32% | - |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 80,650.23% | 131.61% | 53.55% | 77.48% | 190.46% | 171.53% | 201.03% | - |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 1.05% | 5.66% | 6.57% | 5.98% | 3.79% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% |
| ROE | 6.7% | 30.53% | 27.16% | 22.94% | 14.21% | 16.4% | 7.48% | 8.36% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 16.38x | 4.92x | 5.39x | 5.3x | 9.07x | 1.01x | 4.32x | 4.86x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 5.47x | 5.71x | 14.41x | 10.02x | 6.04x | 0.93x | 4.22x | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.01% | 2.65% | 3.1% | 4.28% | 4.77% | 4.95% | 5.54% | 5.61% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 37.46% | 12.11% | 14.3% | 20.03% | 34.05% | 23.57% | 50.03% | 43.33% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 12.52% | 14.05% | 38.22% | 37.88% | 22.66% | 21.62% | 48.94% | - |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | - | 6.296 | 3.672 | 5.202 | 8.042 | -30.26 | 6.451 | - |
| Change | - | - | -41.67% | 41.67% | 54.58% | -476.27% | 121.32% | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.44 | 0.6 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.69 | 0.7052 | 0.7229 | 0.7638 |
| Change | - | 36.36% | 5% | 4.76% | 4.55% | 2.2% | 2.51% | 5.66% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 11.27 | 16.61 | 19.62 | 22.85 | - | 26.86 | 28.09 | 32.38 |
| Change | - | 47.42% | 18.12% | 16.46% | - | - | 4.57% | 15.25% |
| EPS 1 | 0.01 | 4.19 | 4.96 | 4.87 | 3.44 | 4.098 | 1.994 | 2.89 |
| Change | - | 41,800% | 18.38% | -1.81% | -29.36% | 19.12% | -51.34% | 44.94% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 153,279 | 153,877 | 146,184 | 139,270 | 127,327 | 118,142 | 118,142 | 118,142 |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/21 | 2/8/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/5/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 5x | 10.3x |
| PBR | 0.76x | 0.73x |
| EV / Sales | 0.87x | 1.12x |
| Yield | 3.44% | 3.53% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Harley-Davidson, Inc.
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