Projected Income Statement: Lindt

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 295 571 943 649 1,096 1,017 939 876
Change - 93.56% 65.15% -31.18% 68.88% -7.22% -7.67% -6.71%
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 240.8 229.9 301 312 332.7 340.7 352.1 370.1
Change - -4.53% 30.93% 3.65% 6.63% 2.41% 3.35% 5.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 586 526.1 477.6 870 187.7 826.3 777.8 809.2
Change - -10.22% -9.22% 82.16% -78.43% 340.2% -5.87% 4.04%
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.1% 20.48% 21.03% 21.61% 21.48% 21.73% 22.14% 22.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.06% 14.98% 15.63% 16.17% 16.41% 16.58% 17.02% 17.24%
EBT Margin (%) 13.56% 14.52% 15.14% 15.57% 15.61% 15.96% 16.54% 16.83%
Net margin (%) 10.7% 11.46% 12.91% 12.29% 12.29% 12.36% 12.7% 12.88%
FCF margin (%) 12.78% 10.59% 9.18% 15.91% 3.17% 13.71% 12.37% 12.19%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.47% 92.35% 71.13% 129.41% 25.81% 110.86% 97.39% 94.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.77% 6.74% 8.5% 7.9% 7.97% 8.11% 8.63% 9.2%
ROE 9.99% 11.84% 15.51% 14.78% 14.85% 14.91% 15.48% 16.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.32x 0.56x 0.86x 0.55x 0.86x 0.78x 0.67x 0.59x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.5x 1.09x 1.98x 0.75x 5.84x 1.23x 1.21x 1.08x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.25% 4.63% 5.79% 5.71% 5.62% 5.65% 5.6% 5.58%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.13% 22.59% 27.52% 26.41% 26.18% 26.01% 25.3% 24.96%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.09% 43.7% 63.02% 35.86% 177.25% 41.24% 45.27% 45.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3,404 3,168 3,350 5,129 2,264 4,561 4,787 4,960
Change - -6.94% 5.75% 53.1% -55.86% 101.47% 4.95% 3.62%
Dividend per Share 1 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,800 1,860 1,996 2,100
Change - 8.33% 7.69% 7.14% 20% 3.36% 7.26% 5.26%
Book Value Per Share 1 21,818 18,662 18,131 20,860 21,381 21,949 22,931 24,020
Change - -14.47% -2.85% 15.05% 2.5% 2.66% 4.47% 4.75%
EPS 1 2,019 2,387 2,859 2,898 3,137 3,213 3,443 3,696
Change - 18.21% 19.77% 1.35% 8.25% 2.42% 7.18% 7.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 241 232 233 231 230 229.2 229.2 229.2
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 27.9x 26x
PBR 4.09x 3.91x
EV / Sales 3.53x 3.38x
Yield 2.07% 2.22%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
89,700.00CHF
Average target price
102,956.88CHF
Spread / Average Target
+14.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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