Projected Income Statement: MSCI, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: MSCI, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,066 2,740 3,518 4,046 4,101 5,099 5,067 4,829
Change - 32.62% 28.39% 15.01% 1.36% 24.32% -0.63% -4.7%
Announcement Date 1/28/21 1/27/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 1/29/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MSCI, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 50.98 52.79 72.9 90.85 115.1 122.4 128.7 135.1
Change - 3.57% 38.07% 24.63% 26.71% 6.29% 5.15% 4.97%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 760.1 883.3 1,022 1,145 1,387 1,439 1,581 1,714
Change - 16.2% 15.76% 12% 21.07% 3.82% 9.83% 8.4%
Announcement Date 1/28/21 1/27/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 1/29/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MSCI, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 57.3% 58.56% 59.13% 60.22% 60.1% 60.58% 61.4% 62.01%
EBIT Margin (%) 52.19% 52.49% 53.71% 54.75% 53.52% 54.48% 56.72% 58.25%
EBT Margin (%) 40.48% 41.99% 46.42% 54.14% 47.48% 47.96% 49.33% 51.39%
Net margin (%) 35.5% 35.53% 38.72% 45.42% 38.83% 39.66% 40.17% 41.49%
FCF margin (%) 44.84% 43.22% 45.47% 45.28% 48.55% 45.96% 46.11% 46.14%
FCF / Net Income (%) 126.31% 121.67% 117.45% 99.7% 125.01% 115.88% 114.78% 111.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.74% 17.11% 17.71% 20.53% 21.9% 21.65% 23.24% 24.72%
ROE - - - - - - - -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.13x 2.29x 2.65x 2.66x 2.39x 2.69x 2.41x 2.1x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.72x 3.1x 3.44x 3.53x 2.96x 3.54x 3.2x 2.82x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.01% 2.58% 3.24% 3.59% 4.03% 3.91% 3.75% 3.64%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 5.25% 4.41% 5.48% 5.97% 6.71% 6.45% 6.11% 5.86%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 6.71% 5.98% 7.13% 7.93% 8.3% 8.5% 8.14% 7.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.983 10.49 13.73 15.48 19.02 20.6 22.16 23.47
Change - 16.78% 30.85% 12.78% 22.85% 8.32% 7.57% 5.92%
Dividend per Share 1 2.92 3.64 4.58 5.52 6.4 7.192 8.223 9.053
Change - 24.66% 25.82% 20.52% 15.94% 12.38% 14.33% 10.09%
Book Value Per Share 1 -5.368 -1.983 -12.61 -9.353 -12.09 -27.14 -28.88 -26.7
Change - 63.06% -535.71% 25.8% -29.27% -124.43% -6.45% 7.57%
EPS 1 7.12 8.7 10.72 14.39 14.05 16.11 18.45 21
Change - 22.19% 23.22% 34.24% -2.36% 14.66% 14.53% 13.82%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 82,895 82,447 79,958 79,091 78,371 75,140 75,140 75,140
Announcement Date 1/28/21 1/27/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 1/29/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 33.3x 29.1x
PBR -19.8x -18.6x
EV / Sales 14.5x 13.3x
Yield 1.34% 1.53%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
536.90USD
Average target price
657.56USD
Spread / Average Target
+22.47%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise