H1 2020 preliminary results
August 31, 2020
Disclaimer: estimated data
The Management Board of PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna (the "Company" or "PGE") emphasize that figures presented hereby are preliminary estimates, which may change. The financial statements of PGE Group are still in the preparation process. Consolidated report for H1 2020 will be released on September 15, 2020.
This presentation has been prepared by the Management of PGE. This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be constructed as an offer to sell or the solicitation or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for securities of the Company, any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investments decision whatsoever.
- Estimated operating volumes and sales data
[TWh] | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | y/y | H1 2020 | H1 2019 | y/y |
Net electricity generation, by | 13.22 | 13.89 | -5% | 28.58 | 29.50 | -3% |
fuels: | ||||||
Lignite | 7.49 | 8.18 | -8% | 14.72 | 17.06 | -14% |
hard coal (including): | 4.10 | 4.25 | -4% | 9.83 | 8,72 | 13% |
Conventional Generation | 3.48 | 3.56 | -2% | 7.76 | 6.56 | 18% |
segment | ||||||
incl. Opole 5/6 units | 1.49 | 0.69 | 116% | 3.33 | 0.69 | 383% |
District Heating segment | 0.62 | 0.69 | -10% | 2.07 | 2.16 | -4% |
natural gas | 0.97 | 0.83 | 17% | 2.39 | 2.26 | 6% |
pumped-storage plants | 0.15 | 0.16 | -6% | 0.37 | 0.33 | 12% |
hydro | 0.12 | 0.13 | -8% | 0.25 | 0.27 | -7% |
wind | 0.28 | 0.26 | 8% | 0.78 | 0.68 | 15% |
biomass | 0.10 | 0.07 | 43% | 0.22 | 0.16 | 38% |
municipal waste | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0% | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0% |
Sales of heat [PJ] | 8.00 | 7.69 | 4% | 27.75 | 28.57 | -3% |
including Conventional | 0.77 | 0.76 | 1% | 2.67 | 2.88 | -7% |
Generation segment | ||||||
Sales of electricity to final off- | 9.37 | 10.44 | -10% | 20.12 | 21.89 | -8% |
takers | ||||||
Distribution of electricity | 8.12 | 8.83 | -8% | 17.29 | 18.13 | -5% |
Average realized wholesale price of electricity | ||||||
[PLN/MWh] | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | y/y | H1 2020 | H1 2019 | y/y |
Conventional Generation | 292.0 | 242.3 | 20% | 288.6 | 243.8 | 18% |
segment | ||||||
District Heating segment | 235.4 | 252.9 | -7% | 245.8 | 252.8 | -3% |
Total (Conv. Gen. and District | 285.7 | 243.2 | 17% | 282.4 | 244.9 | 15% |
Heating) | ||||||
- Estimated key financial data
[PLN m] | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | y/y | H1 2020 | H1 2019 | y/y | |
EBITDA PGE Group, including: | 1 035 | 2 597 | -60% | 2 805 | 4 395 | -36% | |
Conventional Generation | 277 | 1 423 | -81% | 774 | 2 106 | -63% | |
District Heating | 151 | 379 | -60% | 493 | 772 | -36% | |
Renewables | 108 | 145 | -26% | 301 | 310 | -3% | |
Distribution | 554 | 566 | -2% | 1 127 | 1 211 | -7% | |
Supply* | -31 | 330 | n/a | 187 | 473 | -61% | |
Other + consolidation adjustments | -24 | -246 | n/a | -77 | -477 | n/a | |
One-off items, including: | -312 | 1 096 | -312 | 1 096 | |||
LTC compensations | 41 | -15 | 41 | -15 | |||
Change of reclamation provision | -434 | -246 | -434 | -246 | |||
Change of actuarial provision | -40 | -36 | -40 | -36 | |||
Provision for the risk of returning the | 121 | - | 121 | - | |||
equivalent of EUA received by ZEDO | |||||||
Additional EUA emission rights | - | 1 393 | - | 1 393 | |||
Recurring EBITDA | 1 347 | 1 501 | -10% | 3 117 | 3 299 | -6% | |
*According to accounting standards (IAS 37), Supply segment created provisions in years 2018 and 2019 for onerous contracts, resulting from the Act on electricity prices (2018) and from approval of the price of electricity for households -G Tariff for 2020 (2019). However, PGE Group made respective simultaneous adjustment on the consolidated result which reverses the impact of provision.
- Estimated CAPEX, net debt and EPS
[PLN m] | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | y/y | H1 2020 | H1 2019 | y/y |
CAPEX* | 1 547 | 1 549 | 0% | 2 504 | 2 557 | -2% |
Net debt (end of period) | 9 728 | 10 948 | 1 220 | 9 728 | 10 948 | 1 220 |
Consolidated net result to equity | -1 120 | 1 117 | n/a | -688 | 1 702 | n/a |
Computation of net result to equity ex. impairments | ||||||
Assets impairment (pre-tax)** | -1 075 | -73 | -1 106 | -96 | ||
Assets impairment (after tax)** | -963 | -59 | -988 | -78 | ||
Consolidated net result to equity - ex. | -157 | 1 176 | n/a | 300 | 1 780 | -83% |
Impairments** | ||||||
Earnings per share [PLN] | -0.60 | 0.60 | n/a | -0.37 | 0.91 | n/a |
Earnings per share - ex. impairment | -0.08 | 0.63 | n/a | 0.16 | 0.95 | -83% |
*Capital expenditures and increases in ROUA **Impairment of Property, Plant and Equipment, Intangible Assets and Right-of-Use Assets, including the impact of impairment tests in Q2 2020 in Conventional Generation segment and the loss of value of shares held in PGG. S.A. in the total amount of PLN 1 012m on the profit before tax and PLN 911m on the net profit.
- Drivers of periodic results
Key factors that influenced y/y results dynamics:
Q2 2020 | H1 2020 |
Recurring EBITDA declined by 10% y/y | Recurring EBITDA declined by 6% y/y |
- Average realized wholesale price of electricity in + Average realized wholesale price of electricity in
Conventional Generation segment higher by 50 PLN/MWh | Conventional Generation segment higher by 45 PLN/MWh |
(positive effect of approx. + PLN 1.0bn according to the | |
(positive effect of approx. + PLN 540m according to the | |
volume generated in H1 2020) | |
volume generated in Q2 2020) | |
+ Higher heat prices, lower gas fuel prices in District Heating | |
+ Higher heat prices, lower gas fuel prices in District Heating | |
segment, + PLN 200m | |
segment, higher heat sales volumes + PLN 100m | |
+ Hard coal generation rose by 1.1 TWh thanks to operation | |
of the new units at Opole power plant | |
- Lower generation from lignite, down by 0.7 TWh | - Lower generation from lignite, down by 2.3 TWh |
- Cost of CO2 emission higher by approx. PLN 650m | - Cost of CO2 emission higher by approx. PLN 1.3bn |
- Employment cost up by PLN 150m | |
- Employment cost up by PLN 50m | |
- Lower margin on sales of electricity in Supply segment PLN | |
- Lower margin on sales of electricity in Supply segment | |
150m | |
PLN 220m | |
- Sales volumes of heat declined by 0.8 PJ | |
Reported EBITDA declined by 60% y/y
Negative balance of one-offs y/y PLN -1408m impacted mainly by absence of additional EUA allowances granted in HY'19, increasing financial results by PLN +1 393m.
Reported EBITDA declined by 36% y/y
Negative balance of one-offs y/y PLN -1408m impacted mainly by absence of additional EUA allowances granted in HY'19, increasing financial results by PLN +1 393m.
7
Investor Relations contacts
Filip Osadczuk, Head of IR | Tel: (+48 22) 340 12 24 |
filip.osadczuk@gkpge.pl | Kom: +48 695 501 370 |
Krzysztof Dragan | Tel: (+48 22) 340 15 13 |
krzysztof.dragan@gkpge.pl | Kom: +48 601 334 290 |
Stanisław Ozga, CFA | Tel: (+48 22) 340 12 69 |
stanislaw.ozga@gkpge.pl | Kom: +48 887 171 324 |
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PGE - Polska Grupa Energetyczna SA published this content on 31 August 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 31 August 2020 15:49:00 UTC