Projected Income Statement: Recordati

Forecast Balance Sheet: Recordati

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 748 1,420 1,579 2,154 2,037 1,697 1,384 1,119
Change - 89.84% 11.2% 36.42% -5.43% -16.7% -18.44% -19.15%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/21/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Recordati

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 21.85 23.89 379.6 846.9 38.14 46.05 58.74 63.9
Change - 9.31% 1,489.15% 123.11% -95.5% 20.76% 27.56% 8.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 469.8 439 456 535.1 513.5 652.3 752.8 871.8
Change - -6.56% 3.87% 17.35% -4.03% 27.02% 15.41% 15.79%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/21/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Recordati

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 38.12% 36.3% 36.96% 36.97% 37.85% 36.25% 37.77% 38.64%
EBIT Margin (%) 31.02% 23.6% 26.8% 29.23% 29.59% 29.16% 30.91% 31.71%
EBT Margin (%) 29.33% 21.66% 23.58% 23.37% 22.2% 24.55% 27.52% 29.15%
Net margin (%) 24.43% 16.85% 18.69% 17.79% 16.94% 20.2% 22.28% 22.58%
FCF margin (%) 29.73% 23.69% 21.9% 22.85% 19.61% 23.47% 25.03% 27.07%
FCF / Net Income (%) 121.71% 140.57% 117.16% 128.48% 115.76% 116.18% 112.37% 119.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.36% 9.17% 9.48% 8.92% 8.54% 11.28% 13.11% 13.76%
ROE 31.96% 32.33% 32.46% 31.93% 34.3% 30.6% 30.17% 33.18%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.24x 2.11x 2.05x 2.49x 2.06x 1.68x 1.22x 0.9x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.59x 3.23x 3.46x 4.03x 3.97x 2.6x 1.84x 1.28x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.38% 1.29% 18.23% 36.17% 1.46% 1.66% 1.95% 1.98%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.63% 3.55% 49.32% 97.82% 3.85% 4.57% 5.17% 5.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4.65% 5.44% 83.25% 158.28% 7.43% 7.06% 7.8% 7.33%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.352 2.208 2.32 2.726 2.854 3.579 3.853 4.259
Change - -6.09% 5.08% 17.46% 4.7% 25.4% 7.66% 10.56%
Dividend per Share 1 1.1 1.15 1.2 1.27 1.34 1.555 1.731 1.868
Change - 4.55% 4.35% 5.83% 5.51% 16.06% 11.29% 7.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.707 7.526 8.063 8.976 9.178 10.64 11.91 12.79
Change - 12.22% 7.14% 11.32% 2.25% 15.96% 11.91% 7.4%
EPS 1 1.846 1.494 1.861 1.992 2.121 2.488 2.986 3.433
Change - -19.07% 24.56% 7.04% 6.48% 17.29% 20.03% 14.97%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 206,325 205,406 205,645 204,479 204,565 204,356 204,356 204,356
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/21/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 20.2x 16.8x
PBR 4.71x 4.21x
EV / Sales 4.3x 3.87x
Yield 3.1% 3.45%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
50.15EUR
Average target price
59.12EUR
Spread / Average Target
+17.90%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise