Projected Income Statement: SABIC

Forecast Balance Sheet: SABIC

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 6,993 -8,062 -13,925 -8,760 -3,010 -5,187 -4,498 242
Change - -215.29% -72.72% 37.09% 65.64% -72.3% 13.28% 105.38%
Announcement Date 2/3/21 2/9/22 3/7/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 3/4/26 - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SABIC

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 13,143 11,563 10,224 10,493 10,200 11,325 10,434 11,244
Change - -12.02% -11.58% 2.64% -2.79% 11.03% -7.87% 7.77%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,464 28,742 25,586 13,960 6,158 4,060 9,084 6,061
Change - 239.59% -10.98% -45.44% -55.89% -34.07% 123.76% -33.28%
Announcement Date 2/3/21 2/9/22 3/7/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SABIC

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.94% 27.59% 19.43% 13.44% 13.91% 15.34% 17.61% 20.66%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.58% 19.05% 12.03% 2.63% 4.1% - 5.56% 6.97%
EBT Margin (%) 1.58% 19.48% 13.09% 3.2% 3.16% -14.9% 5.23% 6.58%
Net margin (%) 0.12% 13.17% 8.33% -1.96% 1.1% -22.12% 4.03% 4.48%
FCF margin (%) 7.2% 16.43% 12.89% 9.86% 4.4% 3.33% 8.07% 5.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 6,090.95% 124.78% 154.79% -503.97% 399.89% -17.37% 200.06% 114.23%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.05% 7.51% 5.23% -0.91% 0.54% 0.21% 1.68% 1.54%
ROE 0.08% 13.26% 9.03% -1.57% 0.95% 1.67% 4.36% 6.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.35x - - - - - - 0.01x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.83x - - - - - - 0.04x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.18% 6.61% 5.15% 7.41% 7.29% 9.28% 9.26% 9.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 65.98% 23.96% 26.51% 55.17% 52.39% 61.36% 52.59% 45.95%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 155.28% 40.23% 39.96% 75.17% 165.63% 278.94% 114.85% 185.51%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.158 13.44 11.94 8.151 5.453 5.431 7.436 8.947
Change - 160.55% -11.17% -31.72% -33.1% -0.4% 36.91% 20.33%
Dividend per Share 1 3 4 4.25 3.4 3.4 3.061 3.136 3.174
Change - 33.33% 6.25% -20% 0% -9.97% 2.45% 1.21%
Book Value Per Share 1 55.88 59.95 62.02 55.81 52.28 46.2 45.66 45.22
Change - 7.29% 3.45% -10.01% -6.33% -11.62% -1.18% -0.97%
EPS 1 0.01 7.68 5.51 -0.92 0.51 -8.59 1.805 2.557
Change - 76,700% -28.26% -116.7% 155.43% -1,784.31% 124.01% 41.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000
Announcement Date 2/3/21 2/9/22 3/7/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 3/4/26 - -
1SAR
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio -5.97x 30.6x
PBR 1.2x 1.21x
EV / Sales 1.32x 1.43x
Yield 5.54% 5.67%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
55.30SAR
Average target price
63.30SAR
Spread / Average Target
+14.47%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise