Company Valuation: Thai Oil

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 100,981 125,653 120,069 63,106 80,418 147,433 - -
Change - 24.43% -4.44% -47.44% 27.43% 83.33% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 269,433 257,808 269,900 197,723 145,510 226,061 234,501 227,882
Change - -4.31% 4.69% -26.74% -26.41% 55.36% 3.73% -2.82%
P/E 8.02x 3.6x 6.18x 6.33x 5.51x 4.04x 9.33x 8.27x
PBR 0.84x 0.83x 0.73x 0.39x 0.47x 0.71x 0.68x 0.63x
PEG - 0x -0.1x -0.1x 0.1x 0x -0.2x 0.6x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.29x 0.24x 0.26x 0.14x 0.2x 0.3x 0.34x 0.31x
EV / Revenue 0.78x 0.49x 0.58x 0.42x 0.37x 0.46x 0.55x 0.48x
EV / EBITDA 8.89x 4.96x 7.22x 9.42x 8.23x 4.04x 6.83x 5.75x
EV / EBIT 11.8x 5.82x 9.13x 15.3x 15.1x 4.6x 10.1x 8.45x
EV / FCF -10.9x 22.8x 19.9x 6.5x 3.79x 34.7x 60.3x 10.3x
FCF Yield -9.15% 4.39% 5.03% 15.4% 26.4% 2.88% 1.66% 9.69%
Dividend per Share 2 2.6 4 3.4 1.9 1.8 4.831 2.859 3.81
Rate of return 5.25% 7.11% 6.33% 6.73% 5% 7.32% 4.33% 5.77%
EPS 2 6.17 15.63 8.7 4.46 6.53 16.35 7.073 7.977
Distribution rate 42.1% 25.6% 39.1% 42.6% 27.6% 29.5% 40.4% 47.8%
Net sales 1 345,496 529,589 469,244 466,777 395,682 489,794 427,543 477,079
EBITDA 1 30,309 52,014 37,359 20,999 17,686 55,947 34,326 39,611
EBIT 1 22,885 44,270 29,560 12,893 9,621 49,160 23,256 26,971
Net income 1 12,578 32,668 19,443 9,959 11,852 36,379 16,361 18,435
Net Debt 1 168,451 132,155 149,832 134,617 65,092 78,628 87,068 80,449
Reference price 2 49.50 56.25 53.75 28.25 36.00 66.00 66.00 66.00
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,040,028 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836 - -
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/10/23 2/14/24 2/14/25 2/12/26 - - -
1THB in Million2THB
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
4.02x0.46x4.03x7.35% 4.43B
14.42x1.72x7.34x2.51% 696B
19.6x1.61x9.44x0.47% 174B
7.61x0.6x2.76x4.43% 121B
7.6x0.81x5.21x1.03% 115B
8.91x0.75x5.41x1.26% 114B
9.59x0.7x6.63x1.98% 106B
11.28x0.38x5.94x6.24% 90.45B
9.63x1.88x4.82x2.53% 84.03B
12.33x1.53x8.12x1.88% 65.41B
Average 10.50x 1.04x 5.97x 2.97% 157.11B
Weighted average by Cap. 12.69x 1.34x 6.68x 2.4%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA



Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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