Projected Income Statement: THG Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: THG Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -283 -44.4 540 563 346 293 254 220
Change - 84.31% 1,316.22% 4.26% -38.54% -15.23% -13.31% -13.39%
Announcement Date 4/15/21 4/21/22 4/18/23 4/10/24 4/29/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: THG Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 174.9 111.6 94.85 125.7 101.3 20 20 20
Change - -36.21% -14.97% 32.48% -19.4% -80.25% 0% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -99.32 -88.22 -57.14 -1.135 -88 16.46 40.55 51.87
Change - 11.17% 35.23% 98.01% -7,653.3% 118.71% 146.33% 27.9%
Announcement Date 4/15/21 4/21/22 4/18/23 4/10/24 4/29/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: THG Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.35% 7.4% 2.86% 5.58% 5.89% 5.6% 6.07% 6.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.82% -0.38% -6.69% -6.59% -7.61% 3.11% 3.63% 4.24%
EBT Margin (%) -33.13% -8.55% -24.55% -12.32% -10.42% -2.93% -1.78% -0.36%
Net margin (%) -33.01% -6.33% -24.11% -12.14% -16.78% -2.81% -1.76% -0.84%
FCF margin (%) -6.15% -4.05% -2.55% -0.06% -4.53% 0.94% 2.23% 2.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) 18.65% 63.89% 10.58% 0.46% 26.98% -33.37% -126.81% -328.53%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.07% -4.7% -6.34% -6.83% - -1.26% -0.52% 0.03%
ROE -0.19% -9.52% -13.5% -17.27% -31.15% -10.17% -4.12% 0.24%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 8.42x 4.94x 3.02x 2.97x 2.3x 1.8x
Debt / Free cash flow - - -9.45x -496.21x -3.93x 17.78x 6.27x 4.24x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.84% 5.12% 4.24% 6.14% 5.21% 1.14% 1.1% 1.06%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 115.97% 69.17% 147.95% 110.12% 88.53% 20.31% 18.14% 16.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -176.09% -126.45% -166% -11,071.19% -115.09% 121.5% 49.32% 38.56%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.094 0.0212 0.0304 0.1093 0.0704 0.0245 0.0411 0.0532
Change - -77.44% 43.54% 259.19% -35.59% -65.17% 67.78% 29.41%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.423 1.598 1.05 0.6946 0.2234 0.2073 0.1956 0.1912
Change - 12.26% -34.26% -33.86% -67.84% -7.2% -5.67% -2.25%
EPS 1 -0.4931 -0.13 -0.44 -0.19 -0.24 -0.0335 -0.0214 -0.0106
Change - 73.64% -238.46% 56.82% -26.32% 86.03% 36.33% 50.54%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 970,647 1,220,898 1,265,340 1,299,619 1,525,765 1,390,695 1,390,695 1,390,695
Announcement Date 4/15/21 4/21/22 4/18/23 4/10/24 4/29/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio -8.2x -12.9x
PBR 1.33x 1.41x
EV / Sales 0.38x 0.35x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
0.2750GBP
Average target price
0.5017GBP
Spread / Average Target
+82.43%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise