Projected Income Statement: THG Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: THG Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -44.4 540 563 346 364 277 223 147
Change - 1,316.22% 4.26% -38.54% 5.2% -23.86% -19.49% -34.08%
Announcement Date 4/21/22 4/18/23 4/10/24 4/29/25 3/26/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: THG Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 111.6 94.85 125.7 101.3 21.15 21.55 21.55 23
Change - -14.97% 32.48% -19.4% -79.11% 1.87% 0% 6.73%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -88.22 -57.14 -1.135 -88 -51.8 32.8 49.37 63.2
Change - 35.23% 98.01% -7,653.3% 41.14% 163.33% 50.51% 28.01%
Announcement Date 4/21/22 4/18/23 4/10/24 4/29/25 3/26/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: THG Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.4% 2.86% 5.58% 5.89% 4.46% 5.65% 6.44% 6.83%
EBIT Margin (%) -0.38% -6.69% -6.59% -7.61% -1.29% -0.07% 0.81% 1.75%
EBT Margin (%) -8.55% -24.55% -12.32% -10.42% - -3.31% -1.86% -0.61%
Net margin (%) -6.33% -24.11% -12.14% -16.78% - -2.66% -1.53% -0.41%
FCF margin (%) -4.05% -2.55% -0.06% -4.53% -3.02% 1.82% 2.62% 3.17%
FCF / Net Income (%) 63.89% 10.58% 0.46% 26.98% - -68.35% -171.44% -773.45%

Profitability

        
ROA -4.7% -6.34% -6.83% - - -1.4% -0.51% 0.5%
ROE -9.52% -13.5% -17.27% -31.15% -25.03% -5.31% -1.94% 1.78%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 8.42x 4.94x 3.02x 4.75x 2.72x 1.83x 1.08x
Debt / Free cash flow - -9.45x -496.21x -3.93x -7.02x 8.44x 4.51x 2.32x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.12% 4.24% 6.14% 5.21% 1.23% 1.2% 1.14% 1.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 69.17% 147.95% 110.12% 88.53% 27.62% 21.19% 17.74% 16.87%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -126.45% -166% -11,071.19% -115.09% -40.84% 65.69% 43.65% 36.39%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0212 0.0304 0.1093 0.0704 0.0241 0.0616 0.0622 0.071
Change - 43.54% 259.19% -35.59% -65.81% 156% 0.89% 14.12%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.598 1.05 0.6946 0.2234 0.3065 0.2336 0.2374 0.2488
Change - -34.26% -33.86% -67.84% 37.2% -23.79% 1.64% 4.78%
EPS 1 -0.13 -0.44 -0.19 -0.24 0.04 -0.0317 -0.0187 -0.00502
Change - -238.46% 56.82% -26.32% 116.67% -179.15% 41% 73.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,220,898 1,265,340 1,299,619 1,525,765 1,599,781 1,640,393 1,640,393 1,640,393
Announcement Date 4/21/22 4/18/23 4/10/24 4/29/25 3/26/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio -10.1x -17.1x
PBR 1.37x 1.35x
EV / Sales 0.45x 0.4x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
0.3200GBP
Average target price
0.5350GBP
Spread / Average Target
+67.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise