Operating cash flow before working capital changes was $569 million in the fourth quarter 2020 and $2,180 million for the full year, decreases of 21% and 14%, respectively, compared to the previous year.
Group results
> Adjusted net operating income from business segments
Adjusted net operating income from the business segments was:
-- $1,824 million in the fourth quarter 2020, a decrease of 53% compared to a year ago, due to lower Brent prices, natural gas prices and refining margins. -- $6,404 million in 2020, a decrease of 56% year-on-year for the same reasons.
> Adjusted net income (Group share)
Adjusted net income (Group share) was:
-- $1,304 million in the fourth quarter 2020, compared to $3,165 million in the fourth quarter 2019, due to lower Brent prices, natural gas prices and refining margins. -- $4,059 million in 2020, a decrease of 66% year-on-year, for the same reasons.
Adjusted net income excludes the after-tax inventory effect, special items and the impact of effects of changes in fair value(12) .
Total net income adjustments(13) were
-- -$413 million in the fourth quarter 2020, including close to $200 million related to the conversion of the Grandpuits refinery in France. -- -$11,301 million in 2020, including $8.5 billion of impairments, notably on oil sands assets in Canada.
> Adjusted earnings per share
Adjusted fully-diluted earnings per share was:
-- $0.46 in the fourth quarter 2020, calculated based on a weighted average of 2,645 million fully-diluted shares, compared to $1.19 in the same period last year. -- $1.43 in 2020, calculated based on a weighted average of 2,621 million fully-diluted shares, compared to $4.38 in 2019.
The number of fully-diluted shares was 2,647 million on December 31, 2020.
> Acquisitions - asset sales
Finalized acquisitions were:
-- $1,538 million in the fourth quarter 2020, comprised notably of the acquisition of Tullow's entire interest in the Lake Albert project in Uganda, and the acquisition of CCGT assets and of a portfolio of customers from Energías de Portugal in Spain. -- $4.2 billion in 2020, comprised of the items mentioned above as well as the acquisition in India of 50% of a portfolio of installed solar activities from Adani Green Energy Limited, the finalization of the acquisition of 37.4% stake in Adani Gas Ltd, the acquisition of interests in Blocks 20 and 21 in Angola, and the payment for a second bonus tranche linked to taking the 10% stake in the Arctic LNG 2 project in Russia.
Finalized asset sales were:
-- $439 million in the fourth quarter 2020, comprised notably of the sale of Enphase shares by SunPower and the sale of the Group's corporate offices in Brussels. -- $1.5 billion in 2020, comprised notably ofthe sale mentioned above, as well as notably the sale of non-strategic assets in the UK North Sea, closing the sale of Block CA1 in Brunei, the sale of the Group's interest in the Fos Cavaou regasification terminal in France, and the sale of 50% of a portfolio of solar and wind assets from Total Quadran in France.
> Net cash flow
Net cash flow(14) for the Group was:
-- -$33 million in the fourth quarter 2020 compared to $2,582 million in the fourth quarter 2019, due to a decrease in operating cash flow before working capital changes from $6,793 million to $4,498 million and stable net investments of $4,531 million versus $4,211 million. -- $2.7 billion in 2020 compared to $8.7 billion in 2019, due to the decrease of $10.4 billion in operating cash flow before working capital changes, partially offset by a reduction in net investments of $4.5 billion.
> Profitability
In millions of dollars January 1, 2020 October 1, 2019 January 1, 2019 December 31, September 30, 2020 2020 December 31, 2019 Adjusted net income 4,067 5,960 12,090 Average adjusted shareholders' equity 110,643 108,885 116,766 Return on equity (ROE) 3.7% 5.5% 10.4%
The return on equity was 3.7% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2020.
In millions of dollars January 1, 2020 October 1, 2019 January 1, 2019 December 31, September 30, 2020 2020 December 31, 2019 Adjusted net operating income 5,806 7,801 14,073 Average capital employed 145,723 144,060 143,674 ROACE 4.0% 5.4% 9.8%
The return on average capital employed was 4.0% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2020.
Total SE accounts
Net income for Total SE, the parent company, was EUR7,238 million in 2020 compared to EUR7,039 million a year ago.
2021 Sensitivities*
Estimated impact Estimated impact on adjusted net on cash flow from Change operating income operations Dollar +/- 0.1 $ per EUR -/+ 0.1 B$ 0 B$ Average liquids price** +/- 10 $/b +/- 2.7 B$ +/- 3.2 B$ European gas price - NBP ($/Mbtu) +/- 1 $/Mbtu +/- 0.3 B$ +/- 0.25 B$ Variable cost margin, European refining (VCM) +/- 10 $/t +/- 0.4 B$ +/- 0.5 B$
* Sensitivities are revised once per year upon publication of the previous year's fourth quarter results. Sensitivities are estimates based on assumptions about the Group's portfolio in 2021. Actual results could vary significantly from estimates based on the application of these sensitivities. The impact of the $-EUR sensitivity on adjusted net operating income is essentially attributable to Refining & Chemicals. Please find the indicators detailed page 16.
** In a 50 $/b Brent environment.
Summary and outlook
Supported by OPEC+ quota compliance, oil prices have remained above 50 $/b since the beginning of 2021. However, the oil environment remains uncertain and dependent on the recovery of global demand, still affected by the Covid-19 pandemic.
In a context of disciplined OPEC+ quota implementation, the Group anticipates 2021 production will be stable compared to 2020, benefiting from the resumption of production in Libya.
The Group continues its profitable growth in LNG with sales expected to increase by 10% in 2021 compared to 2020, notably due to the ramp-up of Cameron LNG.
European refining margins remain fragile, with low demand for jet fuel weighing on the recovery of distillates. However, thanks to the resilience of Marketing & Services, the Group expects Downstream to contribute more than $5 billion of cash flow in 2021, assuming refining margins of 25 $/t.
Faced with uncertainties in the environment, net investments are projected at $12 billion in 2021, while preserving the flexibility to mobilize additional investments should the oil and gas environment strengthen. After reducing operating costs by $1.1 billion in 2020 compared to 2019, the Group maintains strong discipline on spending and targets additional savings of $0.5 billion in 2021.
The Group's teams are fully committed to the four priorities of HSE, operational excellence, cost reduction and cash flow generation.
The Group maintains its priorities for cash flow allocation: investing in profitable projects to implement the Group's transformation strategy, support the dividend and maintain a strong balance sheet.
Already in 2021, in renewables, the Group has announced more than 10 GW of additional projects through the acquisition of a 20% stake in Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL), the world's leading solar developer, a partnership with Hanwha in the United States with a 1.6 GW portfolio, and the acquisition of a 2.2 GW portfolio of projects in Texas. Total will allocate in 2021 more than 20% of its net investments to Renewables and Electricity.
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To listen to the presentation in English with CEO Patrick Pouyanné and CFO Jean-Pierre Sbraire today at 14:00 (Paris time) please log on to total.com or call +44 (0) 207 192 8338 in Europe or +1 646 741 3167 in the United States (code: 3971718).
The conference replay will be available on total.com after the event.
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Operating information by segment
> Group production (Exploration & Production + iGRP)
4Q20 Combined liquids and gas 2020 vs production by region vs 4Q20 3Q20 4Q19 4Q19 (kboe/d) 2020 2019 2019 1,059 969 1,102 -4% Europe and Central Asia 1,039 1,023 +2% 566 598 703 -19% Africa 629 705 -11% 598 576 701 -15% Middle East and North Africa 624 702 -11% 382 343 368 +4% Americas 353 365 -3% 236 229 239 -1% Asia-Pacific 226 219 +3% 2,841 2,715 3,113 -9% Total production 2,871 3,014 -5% 727 667 768 -5% includes equity affiliates 712 731 -3% 4Q20 2020 vs Liquids production by region vs 4Q20 3Q20 4Q19 4Q19 (kb/d) 2020 2019 2019 378 359 373 +1% Europe and Central Asia 380 355 +7% 427 458 560 -24% Africa 488 558 -13% 454 432 560 -19% Middle East and North Africa 474 548 -13%
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