Projected Income Statement: Universal Robina Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -9,150 -1,489 4,329 1,066 5,815 5,787 9,223 -425
Change - 83.73% 390.73% -75.38% 445.5% -0.49% 59.37% -104.61%
Announcement Date 3/31/22 4/3/23 4/16/24 3/17/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 13,200 9,135 10,215 5,977 6,383 8,485 8,727 9,091
Change - -30.79% 11.83% -41.49% 6.81% 32.92% 2.86% 4.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 266.8 2,216 3,067 14,298 4,890 7,625 9,385 9,859
Change - 730.6% 38.41% 366.16% -65.8% 55.93% 23.08% 5.05%
Announcement Date 3/31/22 4/3/23 4/16/24 3/17/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.8% 14.35% 15% 13.36% 13.11% 12.97% 13.26% 13.45%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.87% 10.14% 10.96% 10.29% 9.55% 9.7% 9.91% 10.11%
EBT Margin (%) 12.44% 11.66% 9.9% 9.59% 8.5% 8.9% 9.21% 9.36%
Net margin (%) 19.94% 9.31% 7.63% 7.06% 6.46% 6.81% 7.16% 7.07%
FCF margin (%) 0.23% 1.48% 1.94% 8.83% 2.91% 4.34% 5.1% 5.15%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1.14% 15.88% 25.37% 125.08% 45.05% 63.75% 71.19% 72.81%

Profitability

        
ROA 16% 9% 7% 6.76% 6.43% 6.82% 7.07% 7.37%
ROE 22% 12% 11% 10.11% 9.54% 9.51% 10.12% 10.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.18x 0.05x 0.26x 0.25x 0.38x -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 1.41x 0.07x 1.19x 0.76x 0.98x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.29% 6.09% 6.45% 3.69% 3.8% 4.83% 4.74% 4.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 71.43% 42.46% 43% 27.64% 28.97% 37.21% 35.77% 35.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4,947.55% 412.23% 333.05% 41.8% 130.53% 111.27% 92.99% 92.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.111 5.194 4.643 8.85 5.27 7.957 9 9.404
Change - -15% -10.6% 90.59% -40.46% 50.99% 13.11% 4.5%
Dividend per Share 1 3.45 3.45 4 3.8 - 4.137 4.241 4.387
Change - 0% 15.94% -5% - - 2.52% 3.45%
Book Value Per Share 1 49.71 52.95 54.09 55.79 57.96 58.65 60.54 62.22
Change - 6.52% 2.15% 3.14% 3.89% 1.19% 3.22% 2.77%
EPS 1 10.58 6.39 5.55 5.39 4.77 5.463 5.976 6.279
Change - -39.6% -13.15% -2.88% -11.5% 14.52% 9.4% 5.06%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,200,983 2,178,508 2,177,423 2,149,197 2,137,894 2,137,091 2,137,091 2,137,091
Announcement Date 3/31/22 4/3/23 4/16/24 3/17/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.9x 10x
PBR 1.02x 0.99x
EV / Sales 0.76x 0.74x
Yield 6.92% 7.1%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
59.75PHP
Average target price
75.40PHP
Spread / Average Target
+26.19%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. URC Stock
  4. UVRBF Stock
  5. Financials Universal Robina Corporation