Projected Income Statement: Universal Robina Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -9,150 -1,489 4,329 1,066 5,815 5,811 9,251 -355
Change - 83.73% 390.73% -75.38% 445.5% -0.08% 59.2% -103.84%
Announcement Date 3/31/22 4/3/23 4/16/24 3/17/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 13,200 9,135 10,215 5,977 6,383 8,203 7,789 8,340
Change - -30.79% 11.83% -41.49% 6.81% 28.5% -5.05% 7.08%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 266.8 2,216 3,067 14,298 4,890 7,324 9,509 10,189
Change - 730.6% 38.41% 366.16% -65.8% 49.77% 29.83% 7.15%
Announcement Date 3/31/22 4/3/23 4/16/24 3/17/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.8% 14.35% 15% 13.36% 13.11% 13.55% 13.29% 13.54%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.87% 10.14% 10.96% 10.29% 9.55% 9.71% 9.88% 10.13%
EBT Margin (%) 12.44% 11.66% 9.9% 9.59% 8.5% 8.85% 9.18% 9.44%
Net margin (%) 19.94% 9.31% 7.63% 7.06% 6.46% 6.73% 7.13% 7.14%
FCF margin (%) 0.23% 1.48% 1.94% 8.83% 2.91% 4.16% 5.17% 5.29%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1.14% 15.88% 25.37% 125.08% 45.05% 61.78% 72.42% 74.17%

Profitability

        
ROA 16% 9% 7% 6.76% 6.43% 6.82% 7.05% 7.27%
ROE 22% 12% 11% 10.11% 9.54% 9.46% 10.08% 10.39%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.18x 0.05x 0.26x 0.24x 0.38x -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 1.41x 0.07x 1.19x 0.79x 0.97x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.29% 6.09% 6.45% 3.69% 3.8% 4.66% 4.23% 4.33%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 71.43% 42.46% 43% 27.64% 28.97% 34.39% 31.84% 31.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4,947.55% 412.23% 333.05% 41.8% 130.53% 112% 81.91% 81.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.111 5.194 4.643 8.85 5.27 7.957 9 9.404
Change - -15% -10.6% 90.59% -40.46% 50.99% 13.11% 4.5%
Dividend per Share 1 3.45 3.45 4 3.8 - 4.095 4.267 4.445
Change - 0% 15.94% -5% - - 4.2% 4.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 49.71 52.95 54.09 55.79 57.96 59.12 60.52 62.19
Change - 6.52% 2.15% 3.14% 3.89% 2.01% 2.37% 2.75%
EPS 1 10.58 6.39 5.55 5.39 4.77 5.465 5.919 6.302
Change - -39.6% -13.15% -2.88% -11.5% 14.57% 8.31% 6.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,200,983 2,178,508 2,177,423 2,149,197 2,137,894 2,133,002 2,133,002 2,133,002
Announcement Date 3/31/22 4/3/23 4/16/24 3/17/25 3/13/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.3x 10.5x
PBR 1.05x 1.02x
EV / Sales 0.78x 0.77x
Yield 6.6% 6.88%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
62.00PHP
Average target price
75.20PHP
Spread / Average Target
+21.29%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. URC Stock
  4. UVRBF Stock
  5. Financials Universal Robina Corporation