SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG 12th Capital Markets Day
Presented by Ulrich Hadding (CFO) & Dr. Jürgen Reinert (CEO) February 7, 2020
Disclaimer
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This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of SMA Solar Technology AG (the "Company") or any present or future subsidiary of the Company (together with the Company, the "SMA Group") nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities in the Company or any member of the SMA Group or commitment whatsoever.
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SMA Solar Technology | 2 |
12th Capital Markets Day agenda
1
2
3
4
5
Highlights 2019
Dr. Jürgen Reinert
Market and Competition
Pamela Fiume, Dr. Jürgen Reinert
Positioning of SMA
Dr. Jürgen Reinert
Financials & Guidance
Ulrich Hadding
Specialist Presentations
SMA Solar Technology | 3 |
1. Highlights 2019
Presented by Dr. Jürgen Reinert (CEO)
SMA highlights 2019
After a difficult year 2018, SMA has significantly increased sales and earnings and achieved its guidance 2019.
SMA Solar Technology
>10 GW inverter output sold
With a total of 11.4 GW, SMA has increased inverter output sold by 35%.
Largest order ever received
In Q3, SMA has started to deliver 595 MVPS with the new Sunny Central UP to a major US project developer.
O&M portfolio expanded
SMA will deliver O&M services to TerraForm Power's 1 GW North American solar fleet for the next 10 years. The agreement expands SMA's global O&M portfolio to 4.5 GW.
Contracts for >1 GW utility-scale battery inverter capacity signed
SMA has concluded contracts for the delivery of utility-scale battery storage solutions with a total capacity of >1 GW.
5
2. Market & Competition
Presented by Pamela Fiume (Market Intelligence), Dr. Jürgen Reinert (CEO)
Global PV Installations expected to grow by 8% p.a. in the medium term
Core business: PV installations1
REGIONS | +8% p.a. | SEGMENTS | |||||||||||
in GWdc | 133 | 137 | in GWdc | 133 | 137 | ||||||||
123 | 123 | ||||||||||||
108 | 108 | ||||||||||||
China | 34 | 34 | 38 | 82 | |||||||||
30 | 82 | ||||||||||||
39 | 35 | 75 | |||||||||||
APAC | 32 | 33 | Utility | 68 | |||||||||
25 | |||||||||||||
AMER | 23 | 23 | Commercial | ||||||||||
20 | 26 | 32 | 34 | 38 | |||||||||
EMEA | 33 | 36 | 39 | Residential | |||||||||
26 | 16 | 17 | 16 | ||||||||||
14 | |||||||||||||
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | ||||||
- The global PV installations grew by 7% from 2018 to 2019 and are expected to grow by 8% p.a. until 2022.
- In the medium term, EMEA is the most promising region with around 15% annual growth thanks to MEA, Eastern European countries as well as Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands.
- Major APAC2 countries are India, Japan and Australia covering more than 70% of new PV installations in this region over the next three years. Chinese installations are expected to recover after a strong drop following the peak year 20173.
SMA Solar Technology | 1. | SMA Market Model Q1-2020, new PV installations, Res ≤10kW plants, Com 10kW-1MW plants, Uti >1MW plants | 7 |
2. | APAC excl. China | ||
3. | China new PV installations 52 GW in 2017 and 44 GW in 2018 |
Stable global investments in PV inverter technology by 2022 expected
PV inverter revenue1
REGIONS | SEGMENTS | ||||||||||||
in bn€ | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | in bn€ | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | ||||
0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | ||||||||||
China | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | |||||||
1.6 | 1.4 | ||||||||||||
APAC | Utility | ||||||||||||
0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | ||||||
AMER | Commercial | ||||||||||||
1.6 | |||||||||||||
EMEA | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | Residential | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | |||||
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | ||||||
- Investments in PV system technology will remain stable due to price decrease in all segments and regions, despite annual increase in new installations and growing repowering potential of existing plants.
›
›
There is no significant shift in revenue potential expected among segments, there is a balancing by both regional and product mix. Price decrease is expected to stabilize gradually after the strong pressure experienced in 2018.
SMA Solar Technology | 1. SMA Market Model Q1-2020, new PV installations, Res ≤10kW plants, Com 10kW-1MW plants, Uti >1MW plants | 8 |
Storage inverter technology and digital energy solutions drive market growth
Market outlook by sector
for market addressable by SMA1
in € bn | +4% p.a. | |||
6.0 | 6.2 | |||
5.4 | 5.6 | |||
0.6 | 0.8 | |||
0.4 | ||||
0.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | ||
0.7 | 0.8 | |||
0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
- Power generation costs decrease, integrated energy and digitalization will lead to a higher share of renewable energy and its growth.
- The traditional PV inverter market outside of China will slightly grow over the next years. Digital solutions and battery storage are attractive additional value pools.
- PV inverters will serve as the backbone for smart grid solutions connecting the components and collecting data.
3.8 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.7 | • Digital energy solutions gain importance for both homes and |
businesses, e.g. energy services for residential houses, food and | ||||
non-food retail. | ||||
• O&M services remain important with continuously declining | ||||
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | |
equipment prices and are key for sustainable PV investments. |
Digital energy2 Battery storage inverters1
O&M services1 PV inverter business1
Service packages are aiming at utility plants in particular and vary from full to partial.
SMA Solar Technology | 1. | SMA Market Model Q3-2019; global PV inverter market excluding China where SMA is not doing any business | 9 |
2. | SMA estimate of addressable market (limited number of countries) with currently available SMA home and business digital energy solutions; future offerings will |
increase addressable market systematically
SMA increased market share in 2019 compared to 2018 ranking #3 on a global level
GLOBAL1 | |||||||
Comp. 1 | |||||||
Others | 20% | ||||||
28% | |||||||
20% | |||||||
38% | |||||||
18% | |||||||
Comp. 5 | 6% | 20% Comp. 2 | |||||
4% | 9% | ||||||
7% | |||||||
4% | |||||||
6% | |||||||
Comp. 4 | 9% | 11% | |||||
Comp. 3 | SMA |
2018 inner circle
2019 outer circle
- The inverter industry continued to experience a consolidation. The large inverter suppliers were able to gain market shares and strengthen their position.
- The top 6 players covered around 70% of the global inverter market in 2019.
- SMA was able to defend its market position ranking #3 globally and increased its market share.
SMA Solar Technology | 1. Shares in MW-terms, based on installed inverter capacity; SMA estimates and IHS Markit | 10 |
PV is key for a cost-effective, secure and sustainable energy generation - Annual installations are expected to triple by 2030
Long-term market development
PV installations
in GWdc
300 | 300 | |
+10% p.a. | ||
200 | ||
150 | 123 | |
101 | 108 | |
0
2018 | 2019p | 2020p | 2025p | 2030p |
- Digitalization accelerates the transition towards a decentralized energy supply system based on renewable energies.
- With the electrification of additional sectors, electricity is expected to become the main energy source, contributing almost 50% to final consumption in 2050. This means gross electricity consumption would more than double.
- PV will become the preferred energy source in the decentralized, digital energy supply system of tomorrow. This will lead to records in installations year over year.
SMA Solar Technology | 1. SMA Market Model Q1-2020, IRENA Global Energy Transformation 2019 Edition | 11 |
Climate change and the trend towards sustainability are major drivers for future development
1.4 million people
around the globe took to the streets to protest for climate protection on September 20, 2019.
2020 theme of the World
Economic Forum meeting in Davos was "Stakeholders for a cohesive and sustainable world".
90% of asset owners and managers expect ESG centered investment to grow further in the next two years.2
81% of global consumers
expect companies they are buying from to implement environmental programs.1
SMA Solar Technology | 1.https://www.nielsen.com/eu/en/insights/article/2018/global-consumers-seek-companies-that-care-about-environmental-issues/ | 12 |
2.https://securities.bnpparibas.com/files/live/sites/web/files/medias/documents/esg/esg-global-survey-en-2019.pdf; | ESG = Environmental, social and governance issues | |
3. Positioning of SMA
Presented by Dr. Jürgen Reinert (CEO)
Sustainability is at the heart of
SMA's people and business
From the very beginning, our goal has been to combine long-term business success with environmental protection and social responsibility.
That is why sustainability has been firmly anchored in our corporate mission since SMA was founded.
€10.5 billion
of environmental damage was prevented in 2019 through the use of SMA inverters.1
63%
less energy is used today per kW of inverter power produced than four years ago.
38%
of our total electricity consumption in Germany is covered by solar power from our own PV systems; the remaining electricity used is also renewable.
6,400 tons of CO2
were saved by company-owned PV systems in 2019. All SMA PV inverters produced to date help to save 59 million tons of CO2 annually.
50,000 customers
from all segments were asked for their feedback in our global customer satisfaction survey 2019.
SMA Solar Technology | 1. Calculation basis: 85 GW total installed SMA inverter capacity, x 1,300 kWh power generation/year/kW x 0.53 kg CO2/kWh, x 180 Euro | 14 |
cost per ton CO2 emissions avoided (costs according to Federal Environment Agency Germany) | ||
With increasing decentralization, the electricity supply system will become more complex
Power generation today | Power generation tomorrow |
• Renewable energies and storage systems form the backbone of future energy supply.
• In order to integrate them seamlessly and secure a reliable power supply, a comprehensive understanding of the system is essential.
- To provide a sustainable, secure and cost-effective electricity supply, all players will have to be seamlessly integrated and interconnected.
SMA Solar Technology | 15 |
With a portfolio that covers all stages of energy integration, SMA supports the transition to a sustainable, interconnected electricity supply
1 | 2 | |||
Energy | 3 | |||
monitoring | Generation of | |||
4 | ||||
solar power | Energy storage | |||
5 | ||||
Energy |
management | Energy market |
integration |
SMA internet portal | SMA PV inverters | SMA battery | SMA IoT platform | Digital energy services |
inverters |
SMA Solar Technology | 16 |
Our perfectly matched hardware, software and services enable customers to participate in the energy system of tomorrow, today
Market trend | SMA offering |
SMA
Energy
Systems
Demand for dedicated solutions is rising - SMA offers future-proof system packages.
Software - added value for all customer groups
With software like ennexOS and digital services, SMA is an innovator in the digital energy market and opens up new possibilities for all customer groups.
Service products - basis for long-term customer relationships
With service products such as monitoring, PV planning, grid integration, commissioning, etc., SMA is reliable long- term partner of its customers.
Components - SMA's core business
With innovative and high-quality solar inverters and system components, SMA forms the core of every PV system.
SMA Solar Technology | 17 |
With the SMA 360° Support, we assist installers in their daily business and open up new business potential for them
SMA system packages
The SMA Energy Systems for residential and commercial applications combine perfectly matched hardware and software for PV, storage, energy management and market integration with service components from a single source.
SMA partner programs
The SMA partner programs provide installers and distributors with special offers, training, and marketing and sales support.
SMA Solar Academy
The comprehensive training courses and webinars of the SMA Solar Academy impart specialist knowledge on SMA solutions, current PV topics, storage solutions and energy management.
SMA 360° App
With the new app, SMA supports installers at every stage of their business - from customer acquisition through to system planning, commissioning, monitoring and servicing.
SMA Solar Technology | 18 |
With SMA Large Scale & Project Solutions, we help PV investors, developers and operators to optimize their core business and develop new business models
Generate
solar power
SMA inverters guarantee highest yields and efficient system design in PV power plants - even under harshest conditions.
Store
solar power
SMA large-scale storage solutions secure electricity supply even in the event of grid failure and make additional business potential accessible.
Optimize yields
SMA 360° Business Support, including grid studies for optimal grid integration of PV power plants, enhances performance, protects yields and opens up new business models.
SMA Solar Technology | 19 |
With the comprehensive SMA Service offering, we establish mutually beneficial long-term partnerships
SMA Repowering for modernizing PV systems of all sizes to enhance performance and profit from new business models
SMA Smart Connected for free inverter monitoring in residential and commercial systems
Engineering services, virtual support, 24/7 monitoring and operations & maintenance for PV power plants
Extended warranties
and system checks
SMA Solar Technology | 20 |
Battery storage is the enabler for a secure and sustainable energy supply - SMA is the #1 battery inverter manufacturer in a rapidly growing market
Battery storage is the backbone
of the future energy supply1
Cumulative global storage capacity
GWh | ||
3000 | ||
2000 | ||
1000 | ||
0 | ||
2020 | 2030 | 2040 |
SMA offers storage solutions for all segments and appliactions
SMA is by far the market leader
in battery system technology
SMA's experience and long-standing expertise are unrivalled in the industry.
Battery inverter output sold in 20182
MW
1.200
SMA 2019
1.000
800
600
400
200
0
SMA Comp. 1 Comp. 2 Comp. 3 Comp. 4
SMA Solar Technology | 1. Bloomberg NEO 2017 | 21 |
2. IHS Energy Storage Inverter (PCS) Report 2019 for 2018 figures; SMA for figure "SMA 2019" (= total battery inverter output, for which SMA has signed contracts in 2019) |
We leverage our digital abilities to foster our start-ups for future business fields, thereby extending our comprehensive offerings
With the establishment of innovative start-ups and joint ventures in the areas of digital energy services, EV-charging and e-commerce, SMA is tapping into new business fields that are opened up by rapidly evolving digitalization.
SMA
coneva
Software + digital
energy services
elexon
Service products
PV and storage system technology | emerce |
SMA Solar Technology | 22 |
The global SMA sales and service infrastructure supports all customer groups - Our state-of-the-art production sites are located in Germany and Poland
AMERICAS | EMEA | APAC | ||
21 GW1 SMA cum. installed base | 44 GW SMA cum. installed base | 20 GW SMA cum. installed base | ||
5 SMA sales and service companies | 8 SMA sales and service companies | 5 SMA sales and service companies | ||
150+ sales & service experts | 400+ sales & service experts | 100+ sales & service experts | ||
Production
Sales and service companies
SMA Solar Technology | 1. All figures as per 2019/12/31 | 23 |
4. Financials & Guidance
Presented by Ulrich Hadding (CFO)
Sales grew by 20% and profitability improved significantly in 2019
Preliminary key financials1 (in €m)
2018 | 2019e | Change | |
MW sold | 8,449 | 11,409 | 35% |
Sales | 761 | 915 | 20% |
Home Solutions | 188 | 240 | 28% |
Business Solutions | 289 | 296 | 2% |
Large Scale & | 284 | 379 | 33% |
Project Solutions | |||
Gross margin | 10% | 18% | |
EBITDA | -69 | 35 | n.m. |
Depreciation | 83 | 46 | -45% |
EBIT | -152 | -11 | n.m. |
Net result | -176 | -8 | n.m. |
Net cash | 306 | 303 | -1% |
Net CapEx (incl. R&D) | 40 | 28 | -30% |
Comments
- Sales 2019 grew by 20% and all segments increased sales compared to 2018 with strong growth in the Home Solutions and Large Scale & Project Solutions segments.
- Gross margin improved compared to 2018, but was affected by price decline in the Large Scale & Project Solutions business.
- EBITDA 2019 positive and in the middle of the guidance range presented at the 2019 Capital Markets Day.
- 2019 Net result includes a positive financial result and slightly positive tax result from recognition of deferred tax assets.
SMA Solar Technology | 1. Preliminary figures | 25 |
Gross cash flow positive in 2019
Preliminary group balance sheet1 (in €m)
31.12.2018 | 31.12.2019e | Change | |
Non-current assets | 283 | 2992 | 5% |
Working capital | 302 | 425 | 41% |
Other assets | 80 | 62 | -22% |
Total cash | 324 | 318 | -2% |
Shareholder's equity | 424 | 414 | -3% |
Provisions3 | 157 | 153 | -2% |
Trade payables | 111 | 175 | 58% |
Financial liabilities4 | 18 | 15 | -18% |
Other liabilities3 | 279 | 3472 | 25% |
TOTAL | 989 | 1,104 | 12% |
Preliminary cash flow (in €m)
2018 | 2019e | |
Net income | -176 | -8 |
Gross cash flow | -39 | 32 |
Cash flow from operating | -54 | -1 |
activities | ||
Net capex | -40 | -28 |
Free cash flow (Adj.) | -94 | -29 |
Net investments from securities | 47 | 111 |
and other financial assets | ||
Free cash flow (IFRS) | -47 | 82 |
SMA Solar Technology | 1. Preliminary figures | 26 |
2. As of 2019, includes IFRS16 effect (financial leases) of €19.4m | ||
3. Not interest-bearing | 4. w/o not interest-bearing derivatives: €0.3m (2018: €2.4m) and financial leases (€19.4m) |
Restructuring measures delivered savings as planned in 2019
Restructuring savings (in €m)
33,2 | 38,5 | ||||||||||||
21,2 | 24,4 | ||||||||||||
18,7 | |||||||||||||
15,6 | |||||||||||||
10,4 | 12,8 | ||||||||||||
8,8 | |||||||||||||
5,6 | 6,7 | ||||||||||||
3,5 | |||||||||||||
1,0 | 2,2 | ||||||||||||
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | 2020 | 2021 |
(FC) | (FC) | ||||||||||||
Actual savings | Planned savings |
SMA Solar Technology | 27 |
Order backlog for products increased by 125% in 2019 to €395m
Order backlog by segment (in €m) and region (in %)
Total order backlog: €766m (Dec. 31st, 2019)
Large Scale & Project Solutions1
Business Solutions1 | 228 |
371 | |
Home Solutions1 | |
78 | |
Service2 | |
89 |
Product order backlog by regions (in%)
Americas | 17% |
EMEA | 45% |
APAC | 38% |
Order backlog development (in €m)
+33% | |||||||
62 | 819 | 797 | 766 | 803 | |||
620 | |||||||
578 | 453 | 429 | 395 | 381 | |||
175 | 233 | ||||||
403 | 387 | 366 | 368 | 371 | 422 |
12/31/2018 03/31/2019 06/30/2019 09/30/2019 12/31/2019 01/31/2020
Products
Service2
Product order backlog at end of 2019 already secures approx. 40% of 2020 annual sales guidance.
SMA Solar Technology | 1. w/o "Service" | 28 |
2. Order backlog attributable to the former segment "Service", which | will be recognized over a period of 5 to 10 years |
Management expects sales and profitability growth for 2020
Guidance 2020 (in €m)
915 | 1,0 - 1,1 bn | ||
35 | 50 - 80 | ||
20191 | 2020 | 20191 | 2020 |
Sales | EBITDA | ||
2020 | |||
CapEx (incl. R&D & leasing)2 | c. €50m | ||
Depreciation / amortization | c. €45m |
Management comments
- Management expects sales growth in all segments, especially in our Large Scale and Business segments.
- SMA strives to increase market share in all key markets, building on 2019 order intake of over 1 billion Euros.
- Price pressure is expected to ease off compared to prior years for all segments.
- Restructuring savings continue to contribute to profitability in 2020.
SMA Solar Technology | 1. Preliminary figures | 29 |
2. incl. ca. €10m for R&D and ca. €15m from Leasing |
Backup
Managing Board and shareholder structure
Managing Board
Dr. Jürgen Reinert, CEO | Ulrich Hadding, CFO |
Sales & Service, Technology, | Finance, HR, Legal, Investor Relations |
Operations, Business Units |
SMA Solar Technology | 1. as of February 7, 2020, Company Information |
Shareholder
Structure1
Free float
25.20% | 22.51% | ||||
Other | Various | ||||
11.05% | |||||
20.00% | 8.65% | ||||
Danfoss | 6.30% | ||||
6.30% | SMA Founders, | ||||
their Families and Trusts
- No pre-emption rights or other restrictions
31
Thank you.
SMA Solar Technology AG
Sonnenallee 1
34266 Niestetal, Germany
Tel. +49 561 9522 0
Fax +49 561 9522 1133
www.SMA.de
IR@SMA.de
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SMA Solar Technology AG published this content on 07 February 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 07 February 2020 10:22:02 UTC