Valuation Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution
Stocks
ADNOCDIST
AEA006101017
Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing
|
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 3.800 AED | +2.70% |
|
+0.80% | -2.56% |
| May. 22 | Adnoc Distribution Reiterated at Buy as FAB Notes Q1 Results | MT |
| May. 19 | Emirati Equities Rebound as US Postpones Planned Attack on Iran | MT |
Company Valuation: Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 53,375 | 55,125 | 46,250 | 44,000 | 48,750 | 47,487 | - | - |
| Change | - | 3.28% | -16.1% | -4.86% | 10.8% | -2.59% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 56,749 | 57,990 | 48,748 | 46,857 | 51,935 | 51,381 | 51,482 | 51,131 |
| Change | - | 2.19% | -15.94% | -3.88% | 10.84% | -1.07% | 0.2% | -0.68% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.7x | 20x | 17.8x | 18.1x | 17.7x | 15.2x | 14.4x | 13.5x |
| PBR | 16.7x | 16x | 13.3x | 14.7x | 15.1x | 13.5x | 12.3x | 10.5x |
| PEG | - | 0.9x | -3.26x | -2.69x | 1.3x | 1.4x | 2.6x | 1.9x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 2.55x | 1.72x | 1.34x | 1.24x | 1.36x | 1.17x | 1.2x | 1.17x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.71x | 1.81x | 1.41x | 1.32x | 1.45x | 1.26x | 1.3x | 1.25x |
| EV / EBITDA | 18.5x | 16.5x | 13.2x | 12.2x | 12.1x | 11.3x | 10.9x | 10.5x |
| EV / EBIT | 23.4x | 19.5x | 16.3x | 15.3x | 14.8x | 13.7x | 13.2x | 12.7x |
| EV / FCF | 25x | 16.8x | 12x | 16.6x | 18.9x | 17.8x | 14.8x | 13.9x |
| FCF Yield | 4.01% | 5.94% | 8.31% | 6.01% | 5.28% | 5.62% | 6.77% | 7.2% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.2057 | 0.2057 | 0.2057 | 0.2057 | 0.2057 | 0.2093 | 0.2134 | 0.2209 |
| Rate of return | 4.82% | 4.66% | 5.56% | 5.84% | 5.27% | 5.66% | 5.77% | 5.97% |
| EPS 2 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.208 | 0.194 | 0.22 | 0.2433 | 0.2567 | 0.275 |
| Distribution rate | 114% | 93.5% | 98.9% | 106% | 93.5% | 86% | 83.1% | 80.3% |
| Net sales 1 | 20,921 | 32,111 | 34,629 | 35,454 | 35,897 | 40,727 | 39,560 | 40,749 |
| EBITDA 1 | 3,067 | 3,517 | 3,680 | 3,855 | 4,282 | 4,534 | 4,722 | 4,861 |
| EBIT 1 | 2,429 | 2,973 | 2,983 | 3,069 | 3,506 | 3,753 | 3,911 | 4,017 |
| Net income 1 | 2,252 | 2,749 | 2,601 | 2,420 | 2,794 | 3,111 | 3,283 | 3,542 |
| Net Debt 1 | 3,374 | 2,865 | 2,498 | 2,857 | 3,185 | 3,893 | 3,995 | 3,644 |
| Reference price 2 | 4.270 | 4.410 | 3.700 | 3.520 | 3.900 | 3.700 | 3.700 | 3.700 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 12,500,000 | 12,500,000 | 12,500,000 | 12,500,000 | 12,500,000 | 12,496,620 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/11/22 | 2/9/23 | 2/7/24 | 2/12/25 | 2/3/26 | - | - | - |
1AED in Million2AED
Estimates
P/E Ratio, Detailed evolution
| P/E (N) | EV / Sales (N) | EV / EBITDA (N) | Dividend Yield (N) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15.21x | 1.23x | 11.06x | 5.66% | 12.59B | |
| 12.68x | 1.61x | 7.18x | 2.75% | 624B | |
| 19.66x | 1.64x | 9.4x | 0.51% | 179B | |
| 8.1x | 0.57x | 2.82x | 4.73% | 112B | |
| 10.14x | 0.28x | 4.57x | 7.03% | 81.01B | |
| 7.62x | 0.69x | 5.82x | 1.55% | 76.86B | |
| 8.28x | 0.6x | 5.61x | 1.86% | 76.61B | |
| 9.15x | 1.77x | 4.69x | 2.8% | 73.46B | |
| 8.96x | 0.58x | 6.81x | 2.78% | 72.86B | |
| 11.62x | 1.36x | 7.49x | 2.06% | 58.14B | |
| Average | 11.14x | 1.03x | 6.55x | 3.17% | 136.64B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 12.13x | 1.28x | 6.69x | 2.76% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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