Projected Income Statement: Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt -12,950 -11,616 -9,936 -4,822 - - -
Change - 10.3% 14.46% 51.47% - - -
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/17/23 3/15/24 3/13/25 3/20/26 - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,248 1,382 1,615 1,126 1,120 1,998 2,270
Change - 10.74% 16.79% -30.27% -0.55% 78.46% 13.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/17/23 3/15/24 3/13/25 3/20/26 - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

       
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.61% 7.97% 7.74% 5.72% 5.9% 6.12% 6.22%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.93% 7.17% 6.78% 4.8% 4.67% 4.64% 4.67%
EBT Margin (%) 6.84% 7.12% 6.77% 4.81% 4.75% 4.63% 4.69%
Net margin (%) 5.39% 5.6% 5.37% 3.78% 3.84% 3.8% 3.81%
FCF margin (%) - - - - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - - - -

Profitability

       
ROA 5.91% 5.63% 5.29% 3.54% 3.59% 3.7% 3.7%
ROE 12.8% 12.97% 12.07% 7.99% 8.09% 8.48% 8.8%

Financial Health

       
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

       
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.81% 1.95% 2.14% 1.5% 1.44% 2.47% 2.69%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.78% 24.52% 27.64% 26.23% 24.42% 40.27% 43.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - - - - -

Items per share

       
Cash flow per share 1 3.49 4.305 2.524 2.117 -0.143 0.97 1.59
Change - 23.36% -41.37% -16.11% -106.75% 778.32% 63.92%
Dividend per Share 1 0.687 0.732 0.749 0.4 0.45 0.8948 0.9384
Change - 6.55% 2.32% -46.6% 12.5% 98.84% 4.87%
Book Value Per Share 1 17.88 19.72 21.48 22.08 23.24 24.33 25.48
Change - 10.32% 8.92% 2.82% 5.25% 4.68% 4.73%
EPS 1 2.288 2.44 2.495 1.744 1.835 1.93 2.025
Change - 6.64% 2.25% -30.1% 5.22% 5.18% 4.93%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,625,791 1,625,791 1,625,791 1,625,791 1,625,791 1,625,791 1,625,791
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/17/23 3/15/24 3/13/25 3/20/26 - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 11.6x 11x
PBR 0.92x 0.88x
EV / Sales 0.43x 0.41x
Yield 4.01% 4.21%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
22.31CNY
Average target price
25.80CNY
Spread / Average Target
+15.64%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited