Projected Income Statement: Sagax

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sagax

Forecast Balance Sheet - Sagax
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 26,269 31,316 30,315 34,847 38,630 44,967 42,852 41,276
Change - 19.21% -3.2% 14.95% 10.86% 16.4% -4.7% -3.68%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/17/23 2/22/24 2/21/25 2/9/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 658 715 902 1,129 978 853.3 975.8 979.8
Change - 8.66% 26.15% 25.17% -13.37% -12.75% 14.35% 0.41%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,236 2,512 2,663 2,222 2,639 -398.5 2,790 2,992
Change - 212.34% 6.01% -16.56% 18.77% -115.1% 800% 7.26%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/17/23 2/22/24 2/21/25 2/9/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.68% 76.68% 78.02% 79.08% 78.75% 87.75% 90.14% 91.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 164.71% 97.24% 99.72% 100.97% 99.26% 108.66% 105.54% 106.49%
EBT Margin (%) 337.59% 88.68% 3.68% 113.21% 83.02% 121.17% 91.55% 91.58%
Net margin (%) 314.02% 72.93% -0.3% 103.79% 74.94% 102.5% 70.82% 71.02%
FCF margin (%) -71.6% 67.4% 61.67% 43.89% 48.85% -6.98% 45.09% 47.14%
FCF / Net Income (%) -22.8% 92.42% -20,484.62% 42.28% 65.19% -6.81% 63.66% 66.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.98% 4.05% 5.14% 6.68% - - - -
ROE 37% 8.4% 10.68% 13.5% 9.6% 13.5% 8.68% 8.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.83x 10.96x 9x 8.7x 9.08x 8.97x 7.68x 7.13x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.75x 12.47x 11.38x 15.68x 14.64x -112.84x 15.36x 13.8x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.07% 19.18% 20.89% 22.3% 18.1% 14.94% 15.77% 15.44%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.12% 25.02% 26.77% 28.2% 22.99% 17.02% 17.5% 16.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -29.43% 28.46% 33.87% 50.81% 37.06% -214.14% 34.98% 32.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 10.69 10.71 11.34 11.45
Change - - - - - 0.25% 5.79% 0.97%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 3.7 3.567 3.74 3.788
Change - - - - - -3.59% 4.85% 1.3%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 123.4 135.3 147.4
Change - - - - - - 9.66% 8.96%
EPS 1 - - - - - 15.47 16.3 16.55
Change - - - - - - 5.38% 1.5%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - - 464,709 494,709 494,709 494,709
Announcement Date - - - - 2/9/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11x 10.5x
PBR 1.38x 1.26x
EV / Sales 18.8x 17x
Yield 2.09% 2.19%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Sagax


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Sagax
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Sagax
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Sagax
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
170.50SEK
Average target price
196.50SEK
Spread / Average Target
+15.25%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Sagax