Projected Income Statement: Spotify Technology S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Spotify Technology S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -1,170 -1,719 -1,667 -2,518 -5,447 -6,061 -8,287 -11,320
Change - -46.92% 3.03% -51.05% -116.32% -11.27% -36.73% -36.6%
Announcement Date 2/3/21 2/2/22 1/31/23 2/6/24 2/4/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Spotify Technology S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 78 85 25 6 17 42 42.72 47.35
Change - 8.97% -70.59% -76% 183.33% 147.07% 1.72% 10.84%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 183 277 21 678 2,285 2,901 3,563 4,327
Change - 51.37% -92.42% 3,128.57% 237.02% 26.96% 22.82% 21.43%
Announcement Date 2/3/21 2/2/22 1/31/23 2/6/24 2/4/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Spotify Technology S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -2.31% 2.29% -4.16% -2.17% 9.48% 12.89% 15.43% 17.77%
EBIT Margin (%) -3.72% 0.97% -5.62% -3.37% 8.71% 12.29% 14.97% 17.37%
EBT Margin (%) -9% 2.58% -3.16% -3.81% 8.56% 10.74% 15.77% 18%
Net margin (%) -7.37% -0.35% -3.67% -4.02% 7.26% 9.07% 12.79% 14.59%
FCF margin (%) 2.32% 2.87% 0.18% 5.12% 14.58% 16.89% 18.11% 19.22%
FCF / Net Income (%) -31.5% -814.71% -4.88% -127.44% 200.79% 186.15% 141.59% 131.76%

Profitability

        
ROA -10.15% -0.5% -5.81% -6.66% 11.18% 11.99% 15.52% 16.5%
ROE -24% -1.38% -19.03% -21.61% 28.28% 23.54% 28.4% 26.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.99% 0.88% 0.21% 0.05% 0.11% 0.24% 0.22% 0.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -42.86% 38.46% -5.12% -2.08% 1.14% 1.9% 1.41% 1.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 42.62% 30.69% 119.05% 0.88% 0.74% 1.45% 1.2% 1.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.381 1.861 0.2349 3.49 11.12 11.95 15.74 17.67
Change - 34.81% -87.38% 1,385.74% 218.52% 7.51% 31.72% 12.23%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 14.95 11.03 12.44 12.96 27.54 35.94 47.24 59.95
Change - -26.25% 12.85% 4.11% 112.56% 30.5% 31.46% 26.89%
EPS 1 -3.1 -0.18 -2.23 -2.73 5.5 7.316 11.89 15.63
Change - 94.19% -1,138.89% -22.42% 301.47% 33.01% 62.52% 31.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 189,586 191,554 193,130 195,139 202,079 206,084 206,084 206,084
Announcement Date 2/3/21 2/2/22 1/31/23 2/6/24 2/4/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 66.4x 40.8x
PBR 13.5x 10.3x
EV / Sales 5.47x 4.66x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
39
Last Close Price
485.61EUR
Average target price
648.14EUR
Spread / Average Target
+33.47%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SPOT Stock
  4. Financials Spotify Technology S.A.