Company Valuation: Swatch Group

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 14,175 13,103 11,658 8,455 8,803 10,642 - -
Change - -7.56% -11.03% -27.47% 4.11% 20.89% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 11,619 10,565 9,672 7,081 7,610 9,430 9,415 9,507
Change - -9.07% -8.45% -26.78% 7.46% 23.92% -0.16% 0.98%
P/E 18.9x 16.9x 13.6x 44.1x 3,365x 39.9x 27.2x 21.3x
PBR 1.24x 1.13x 0.97x 0.7x 0.75x 0.92x 0.92x 0.9x
PEG - 3.16x 1.78x -0.6x -34.1x 0x 0.6x 0.8x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.94x 1.75x 1.48x 1.26x 1.4x 1.65x 1.58x 1.51x
EV / Revenue 1.59x 1.41x 1.23x 1.05x 1.21x 1.47x 1.4x 1.35x
EV / EBITDA 7.96x 6.75x 6.12x 9.84x 13.6x 12x 9.79x 8.58x
EV / EBIT 11.4x 9.12x 8.12x 23.3x 56.4x 24.7x 17.3x 14.2x
EV / FCF 11.6x 31.4x -56.9x -32.8x 136x 17.9x 18.7x 38.2x
FCF Yield 8.63% 3.19% -1.76% -3.05% 0.74% 5.59% 5.34% 2.62%
Dividend per Share 2 5.5 6 6.5 4.5 4.5 4.587 5.076 5.524
Rate of return 1.97% 2.28% 2.84% 2.73% 2.67% 2.22% 2.46% 2.68%
EPS 2 14.77 15.56 16.75 3.74 0.05 5.165 7.576 9.677
Distribution rate 37.2% 38.6% 38.8% 120% 9,000% 88.8% 67% 57.1%
Net sales 1 7,313 7,499 7,888 6,735 6,280 6,434 6,738 7,035
EBITDA 1 1,459 1,565 1,581 720 558 784.2 962 1,107
EBIT 1 1,021 1,158 1,191 304 135 382.1 544.6 668.1
Net income 1 765 807 869 193 3 267.1 371.3 427.3
Net Debt 1 -2,556 -2,538 -1,986 -1,374 -1,193 -1,212 -1,227 -1,135
Reference price 2 279.00 263.00 228.60 165.00 168.25 206.20 206.20 206.20
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 51,771 51,808 51,836 51,872 51,767 51,996 - -
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/24/23 1/23/24 1/30/25 1/30/26 - - -
1CHF in Million2CHF
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
30.87x2.1x15.38x0.99% 3.84B
25.52x1.71x14.01x1.91% 3.72B
20.78x - - - 613M
-11.35x0.37x7.12x - 238M
Average 16.45x 1.39x 12.17x 1.45% 2.1B
Weighted average by Cap. 26.57x 1.86x 14.47x 1.44%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield