Projected Income Statement: Yara International ASA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Yara International ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 34,729 33,094 38,967 41,985 31,023 22,696 18,757 17,175
Change - -4.71% 17.75% 7.75% -26.11% -26.84% -17.36% -8.43%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/8/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/11/26 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Yara International ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,149 9,559 12,028 11,684 8,896 10,580 11,300 11,390
Change - 33.7% 25.83% -2.86% -23.86% 18.93% 6.8% 0.8%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,276 15,123 12,133 2,792 9,067 19,087 15,730 11,442
Change - 186.65% -19.77% -76.99% 224.81% 110.51% -17.59% -27.26%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/8/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/11/26 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Yara International ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.4% 20.33% 11.01% 14.72% 17.84% 20.76% 18% 17.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.47% 15.91% 2.01% 7.21% 10.94% 14.57% 10.97% 10.3%
EBT Margin (%) 4.45% 15.13% 1.23% 1.29% 11.31% 12.99% 10.81% 9.66%
Net margin (%) 2.72% 11.55% 0.31% 0.1% 8.71% 10.11% 8.1% 7.03%
FCF margin (%) 3.62% 6.06% 7.35% 1.79% 6.06% 10.86% 9.82% 7.5%
FCF / Net Income (%) 132.96% 52.46% 2,380.62% 1,778.51% 69.57% 107.37% 121.22% 106.67%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.65% 15.75% 0.28% 2.84% 8.51% 10.22% 6.46% 5.64%
ROE 5.89% 35.4% 0.59% 6.04% 17.41% 20.41% 13.43% 11.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.37x 0.65x 2.14x 1.83x 1.16x 0.62x 0.65x 0.64x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.58x 2.19x 3.21x 15.04x 3.42x 1.19x 1.19x 1.5x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.9% 3.83% 7.29% 7.48% 5.94% 6.02% 7.06% 7.47%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.16% 18.83% 66.17% 50.81% 33.32% 28.99% 39.2% 42.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 135.51% 63.21% 99.13% 418.55% 98.12% 55.43% 71.84% 99.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 48.39 96.89 94.85 56.83 70.52 94 104.9 86.4
Change - 100.26% -2.11% -40.09% 24.1% 33.29% 11.62% -17.65%
Dividend per Share 1 50 65 5 5 - 31.84 23.46 20.71
Change - 30% -92.31% 0% - - -26.33% -11.72%
Book Value Per Share 1 246.5 348 313.1 309.5 324.8 373.9 384 379.7
Change - 41.2% -10.03% -1.16% 4.97% 15.1% 2.71% -1.11%
EPS 1 15.37 113.1 2.017 0.5606 51.16 68.62 50.39 43.83
Change - 636.08% -98.22% -72.21% 9,026.14% 34.13% -26.56% -13.03%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 254,792 254,726 254,726 254,726 254,726 254,726 254,726 254,726
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/8/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/11/26 - - -
1NOK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 7.19x 9.8x
PBR 1.32x 1.29x
EV / Sales 0.84x 0.9x
Yield 6.45% 4.75%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
493.70NOK
Average target price
531.50NOK
Spread / Average Target
+7.66%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. YAR Stock
  4. Financials Yara International ASA