Company Valuation: Morinaga Milk Industry Co., Ltd.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 288,024 236,418 215,789 271,308 260,177 419,123 - -
Change - -17.92% -8.73% 25.73% -4.1% 61.09% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 373,050 299,851 293,074 293,598 336,349 498,072 522,855 528,180
Change - -19.62% -2.26% 0.18% 14.56% 48.08% 4.98% 1.02%
P/E Ratio 15.4x 7.61x 12.8x 4.49x 48.2x 17.3x 17.5x 15x
PBR 1.44x 1.15x 0.97x 0.98x 0.98x 1.4x 1.45x 1.39x
PEG - 0.1x -0.3x 0x -0.5x 0x 0.9x 0.9x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.49x 0.47x 0.41x 0.5x 0.46x 0.68x 0.71x 0.69x
EV / Revenue 0.64x 0.6x 0.56x 0.54x 0.6x 0.87x 0.88x 0.87x
EV / EBITDA 7.56x 5.89x 6.45x 5.81x 6.33x 8.5x 8.35x 7.72x
EV / EBIT 12.9x 10.1x 12.2x 10.5x 11.3x 14.5x 14.2x 12.7x
EV / FCF 28.2x 6.16x -48.2x 3.59x -7.65x -285x -523x 42.1x
FCF Yield 3.55% 16.2% -2.07% 27.9% -13.1% -0.35% -0.19% 2.38%
Dividend per Share 2 35 40 45 60 90 100 108 128.8
Rate of return 1.2% 1.53% 1.89% 1.92% 2.89% 2.1% 2.08% 2.48%
EPS 2 189.4 343.7 186.6 696.9 64.6 276 297.3 346.9
Distribution rate 18.5% 11.6% 24.1% 8.61% 139% 36.2% 36.3% 37.1%
Net sales 1 583,550 503,354 525,603 547,059 561,173 571,458 593,210 605,822
EBITDA 1 49,351 50,894 45,425 50,504 53,172 58,628 62,609 68,390
EBIT 1 28,867 29,792 23,939 27,839 29,658 34,479 36,713 41,594
Net income 1 18,741 33,782 16,875 61,307 5,459 22,599 23,923 27,404
Net Debt 1 85,026 63,433 77,285 22,290 76,172 78,949 103,732 109,058
Reference price 2 2,910.00 2,615.00 2,385.00 3,126.00 3,115.00 5,194.00 5,194.00 5,194.00
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 98,977 90,408 90,477 86,791 83,524 80,694 - -
Announcement Date 5/13/21 5/13/22 5/15/23 5/14/24 5/13/25 5/13/26 - -
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates

P/E Ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (N) EV / Sales (N) EV / EBITDA (N) Dividend Yield (N) Capi.($)
21.17x0.88x8.6x1.82% 2.65B
19.85x2.88x14.16x3.94% 257B
22.03x2.57x15.12x3.21% 82.38B
17.53x1.79x10.07x3.53% 49.07B
17.87x0.54x10.49x2.55% 39.17B
22x3.26x13.26x3.27% 35.82B
70.3x10.49x44.58x1.08% 29.11B
35.3x3.08x17.16x1.01% 28.2B
11.48x1.88x9.26x6.67% 28.52B
14.73x0.41x9.48x2.23% 24.88B
Average 25.23x 2.78x 15.22x 2.93% 57.68B
Weighted average by Cap. 22.63x 2.84x 14.86x 3.43%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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