Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,365 8,295 7,405 5,999 5,400 4,879 -1,128 -13,570
Change - -11.43% -10.73% -18.99% -9.98% -9.66% -123.12% -1,103.01%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/19/23 1/23/24 1/21/25 1/20/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 524.6 407.7 348.6 439.5 688.2 791.7 754 794.5
Change - -22.28% -14.51% 26.1% 56.58% 15.03% -4.75% 5.37%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -158.9 1,619 6,926 6,922 9,461 12,966 14,270 16,732
Change - 1,118.62% 327.9% -0.06% 36.68% 37.05% 10.05% 17.25%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/19/23 1/23/24 1/21/25 1/20/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.92% 20.7% 22.69% 28.25% 31.05% 33.27% 35.2% 37.09%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.86% 17.82% 20.62% 26.71% 29.49% 31.53% 33.61% 35.49%
EBT Margin (%) 19.67% 16.65% 18.4% 25.55% 28.16% 35.75% 32.64% 34.79%
Net margin (%) 17.23% 14.21% 16.04% 22.34% 24.3% 29.81% 27.84% 29.43%
FCF margin (%) -0.54% 5.12% 20.54% 17.75% 20.94% 25.31% 25.02% 26.63%
FCF / Net Income (%) -3.11% 36.03% 128.07% 79.45% 86.16% 84.93% 89.85% 90.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.2% 9.64% 11.11% 17.02% 20.11% 24.26% 23.88% 22.98%
ROE 38.02% 24.53% 26.15% 38.43% 42.76% 52.92% 47.05% 47.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.38x 1.27x 0.97x 0.54x 0.38x 0.29x - -
Debt / Free cash flow -58.94x 5.12x 1.07x 0.87x 0.57x 0.38x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.77% 1.29% 1.03% 1.13% 1.52% 1.55% 1.32% 1.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.71% 6.23% 4.56% 3.99% 4.91% 4.65% 3.76% 3.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -330.15% 25.19% 5.03% 6.35% 7.27% 6.11% 5.28% 4.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0862 0.449 1.618 1.676 2.388 3.156 3.659 4.574
Change - 420.75% 260.44% 3.55% 42.51% 32.14% 15.95% 25.01%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 3.481 4.604 4.663 5.633 6.263 7.374 8.832 10.84
Change - 32.28% 1.27% 20.81% 11.19% 17.74% 19.77% 22.71%
EPS 1 1.124 0.995 1.203 1.983 2.53 3.561 3.815 4.558
Change - -11.48% 20.9% 64.84% 27.58% 40.77% 7.12% 19.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,429,522 4,450,205 4,376,797 4,274,581 4,237,323 4,163,940 4,163,940 4,163,940
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/19/23 1/23/24 1/21/25 1/20/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.4x 18.1x
PBR 9.35x 7.81x
EV / Sales 5.7x 5.01x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
50
Last Close Price
68.95USD
Average target price
98.16USD
Spread / Average Target
+42.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise