Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - Netflix, Inc.
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,365 8,295 7,405 5,999 5,400 7,034 1,860 -5,353
Change - -11.43% -10.73% -18.99% -9.98% 30.25% -73.56% -387.8%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/19/23 1/23/24 1/21/25 1/20/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 524.6 407.7 348.6 439.5 688.2 1,006 804 874.5
Change - -22.28% -14.51% 26.1% 56.58% 46.1% -20.04% 8.77%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -158.9 1,619 6,926 6,922 9,461 12,572 13,506 15,847
Change - 1,118.62% 327.9% -0.06% 36.68% 32.88% 7.44% 17.33%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/19/23 1/23/24 1/21/25 1/20/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.92% 20.7% 22.69% 28.25% 31.05% 33.37% 34.82% 36.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.86% 17.82% 20.62% 26.71% 29.49% 31.7% 33.3% 35.01%
EBT Margin (%) 19.67% 16.65% 18.4% 25.55% 28.16% 35.75% 32.35% 34.41%
Net margin (%) 17.23% 14.21% 16.04% 22.34% 24.3% 29.67% 27.46% 28.99%
FCF margin (%) -0.54% 5.12% 20.54% 17.75% 20.94% 24.59% 23.85% 25.46%
FCF / Net Income (%) -3.11% 36.03% 128.07% 79.45% 86.16% 82.87% 86.86% 87.83%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.2% 9.64% 11.11% 17.02% 20.11% 24.82% 23.65% 24.45%
ROE 38.02% 24.53% 26.15% 38.43% 42.76% 54.31% 49.38% 52.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.38x 1.27x 0.97x 0.54x 0.38x 0.41x 0.09x -
Debt / Free cash flow -58.94x 5.12x 1.07x 0.87x 0.57x 0.56x 0.14x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.77% 1.29% 1.03% 1.13% 1.52% 1.97% 1.42% 1.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.71% 6.23% 4.56% 3.99% 4.91% 5.89% 4.08% 3.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -330.15% 25.19% 5.03% 6.35% 7.27% 8% 5.95% 5.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0862 0.449 1.618 1.676 2.388 3.142 3.459 4.004
Change - 420.75% 260.44% 3.55% 42.51% 31.58% 10.08% 15.75%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 3.481 4.604 4.663 5.633 6.263 7.244 8.33 9.652
Change - 32.28% 1.27% 20.81% 11.19% 15.66% 14.99% 15.87%
EPS 1 1.124 0.995 1.203 1.983 2.53 3.582 3.765 4.487
Change - -11.48% 20.9% 64.84% 27.58% 41.57% 5.11% 19.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,429,522 4,450,205 4,376,797 4,274,581 4,237,323 4,106,326 4,106,326 4,106,326
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/19/23 1/23/24 1/21/25 1/20/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.7x 17.8x
PBR 9.26x 8.05x
EV / Sales 5.52x 4.89x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Netflix, Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Netflix, Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Netflix, Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Netflix, Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
51
Last Close Price
67.05USD
Average target price
84.83USD
Spread / Average Target
+26.52%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Netflix, Inc.