Investor Presentation - May 2024
Disclaimer | 2 |
Certain statements in this presentation may be considered "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the "safe harbor" provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as "may," "should," "expect," "intend," "will," "estimate," "anticipate," "believe," "predict," "project," "target," "plan," or "potentially" or the negatives of these terms or variations of them or similar terminology. These statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding our future performance and our market opportunity, including expected financial results for the second quarter of 2024 and full year 2024, trends and expectations regarding our business and operating results, our expectations on Verified Neighbor growth, the expected benefits to our cost reduction plan and share repurchases, our business strategy and plans, and our objectives and future operations, including our expansion into new markets.
Forward-looking statements are based upon various estimates and assumptions, as well as information known to us as of the date of this investor presentation, and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, actual results could differ materially due to a variety of factors, including: our ability to scale our business and monetization efforts; our ability to expand business operations abroad; our limited operating history; risks associated with managing our growth; our ability to achieve and maintain profitability in the future; the effects of the highly competitive market in which we operate; the impact of macroeconomic conditions on our business; our ability to attract new and retain existing customers and users, or renew and expand our relationships with them; our ability to anticipate and satisfy customer preferences; market acceptance of our platform; our ability to successfully develop and timely introduce new products and services; our ability to achieve our objectives of strategic and operational initiatives; cybersecurity risks to our various systems and software; the impact of privacy and data security laws; and other general market, political, economic, and business conditions.
Additional risks and uncertainties that could affect our financial results and business are more fully described in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2024, filed on May 7, 2024, and our other SEC filings, which are available on the Investor Relations page of our website at investors.nextdoor.com and on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov. All forward-looking statements contained herein are based on information available to us as of the date hereof and you should not rely upon forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. The events and circumstances reflected in the forward-looking statements may not be achieved or occur. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot guarantee future results, performance, or achievements.We undertake no obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements for any reason after the date of this investor presentation or to conform these statements to actual results or revised expectations, except as required by law. Undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking statements in this investor presentation.
This presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures (including on a forward-looking basis). These non-GAAP measures are in addition to, and not a substitute for or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be considered as an alternative to their nearest GAAP equivalent or any other performance measures derived in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures used in this Presentation to their nearest GAAP equivalent is included in the Appendix to this Presentation. Nextdoor believes that these non-GAAP measures of financial results (including on a forward-looking basis) provide useful supplemental information to investors about Nextdoor. Nextdoor's management uses forward-lookingnon-GAAP measures to evaluate Nextdoor's projected financials and operating performance. However, there are a number of limitations related to the use of these non-GAAP measures and their nearest GAAP equivalents, including that they exclude significant expenses that are required by GAAP to be recorded in Nextdoor's financial measures. In addition, other companies may calculate non-GAAP measures differently, or may use other measures to calculate their financial performance, and therefore, Nextdoor's non-GAAP measures may not be directly comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies. Additionally, to the extent that forward-lookingnon-GAAP financial measures are provided, they are presented on a non-GAAP basis without reconciliations of such forward-lookingnon-GAAP measures due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying certain amounts that are necessary for such reconciliations.
Business Overview
Nextdoor is the neighborhood network
11 | 1 in 3 |
Countries | U.S. Households |
92M+ | 43M+ |
Verified Neighbors | Weekly Active |
(VNs) and growing | Neighbors (WAU) |
3
Network effects with online & offline connection is unique
Each social link is highly valuable because most commerce is local
Secular shift towards digital advertising
High barrier to entry: network difficult & time consuming to build
Unique local knowledge graph & proprietary data set - amplified by AI
Nextdoor is the definitive consumer internet service in local
Metrics as of 3/31/2024.
Business Overview
Q1'24 highlights
>90%
of global VNs joined
organically
~50%
of total revenue from
self-serve
36%
increase in session depth
4
Organic Verified Neighbor additions in Q1 were 2x higher YoY
Global session depth1 maintained its acceleration at +36% YoY
~50% of VNs are active weekly, ~50% of WAU are active daily
100% of self-serve customers now use our proprietary ads platform
>50% YoY growth in new mid-market advertisers added
Cash balance of $498M can fund long-term growth
1. | Sessions are defined as the period of time a user is active on the site or app and views at least one piece of content. If a |
Verified Neighbors and WAU as of 3/31/2024. | user is inactive for 5 minutes or more, any future activity is attributed to a new session. Session depth reflects the |
number of ad impression opportunities during each user session. |
Investment Thesis | 5 |
Multiple drivers of growth and value creation
Massive TAM + Upside
- Everyoneis a neighbor. Opportunity to grow into 300M+ households in existing markets
- Substantial opportunity outside of Nextdoor's 11 current markets
Powerful Network Effects
- 92M+ Verified Neighbors drive high-quality UGC creation/connectivity; adding add'l. content a priority
- Strong networks drive efficient neighbor acquisition; >90% of new neighbors join organically
Valuable User Base + Data | Engaged User Base |
- Nextdoor has the highest-quality data: verified, real-time, and authentic
- 62% greater reach with high income households (HIH) than peers1
- Approximately 50% of Verified Neighbors are active weekly
- Approximately 50% of WAU are active daily
Clear Path To Profitability | ARPU Growth Levers | ||
● | Anticipated quarterly free cash flow breakeven | ● | Neighbors engaging more deeply, with further |
● | by end of Q4'24 | ● | opportunity to increase usage across surfaces |
Recent cost rationalization speeds time to | New ad stack drives advertisers outcomes, and | ||
profitability while maintaining focus on growth | improved revenue yields |
Metrics as of 3/31/2024.
(1) Source: GWI Core, USA, Q3 2022 - Q2 2023. Reflects households with >$200K annual income. Selected peers data represents an average of X, Instagram, Pinterest, Facebook, and TikTok statistics.
Investment Thesis
Our Growth Algorithm
User & engagement
growth
with strong underlying session
depth
New advertiser
growth
accelerated by self-serve
capabilities
Durable advertiser
retention
enabled by our proprietary
ads platform
Reduced cost base
to accelerate growth and
positive FCF
Increasing organic user | Self-Serve in Q1'24: | We retained 92% of our | Targeting 15 ppt of |
acquisition and | ~50% of revenue, strong | top 50 customers from | Adj. EBITDA margin1 |
deepening engagement | new logo growth | Q1'23 in Q1'24 | expansion in FY 2024 |
- Adjusted EBITDA margin is calculated as adjusted EBITDA divided by revenue.
- A reconciliation of non-GAAP metrics to their most comparable GAAP measures is provided at the end of this presentation.
Investment Thesis | 7 |
A growing base of engaged users...
Annual | Quarterly | |
Avg. Weekly Active Users (WAU), millions | ||
16% | 16% | |
2020-2023 CAGR | Q1 2021-Q1 2024 CAGR | |
41.6 | 42.4 | 43.4 |
38.0 | 36.7 | |
31.3 | ||
26.7 | 27.6 |
+37% | +17% | +21% | +9% | +12% | +33% | +16% | +2% |
U.S. International
WAU is defined as a Nextdoor user who opens our application, logs on to our website, or engages with an email with monetizable content at least once during a defined 7-day period. Some figures may not tie due to rounding.
Investment Thesis | 8 |
…Sets up long-term revenue growth
AnnualQuarterly
21% | 16% |
2020-2023 CAGR | Q1 2021-Q1 2024 CAGR |
+49% | +56% | +11% | +3% | +45% | +48% | -2% | +7% |
Some figures may not tie due to rounding.
Usage and Engagement | 9 |
People use Nextdoor to enrich their neighborhoods every day
Newsfeed | Discover | For Sale & Free | Communities |
Usage and Engagement | 10 |
Mechanics for driving Verified Neighbor (VN) growth…
Our growth strategy focuses on driving brand awareness driven by building value through invites and content
Our current focus
Invites | Content | Earned / WOM | |
● Digital Invite | ● Partnerships | ● | Word-of-mouth (WOM) |
● Neighbor-to-guest | ● SEO | ● | Content Engine |
● Page-to-guest | ● Social Sharing | ● | Brand / Earned Media |
● | Marketing Partnerships | ||
● | Unattributed halo |
Paid
- Invitation Letters
- Digital Paid (FB, Google, etc)
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Disclaimer
Nextdoor Holdings Inc. published this content on 21 May 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 21 May 2024 17:42:01 UTC.