Interim Results
September 2020
Half Year Results September 2020
Introduction Nick Roberts
H1 2020 - progress despite COVID challenges
Significant pandemic impact on the P&L but outstanding cash performance
Rapidly adapted business models - ensuring safety while providing an essential service to keep the UK's homes warm, dry and safe
Accelerated elements of the strategic plan across digital enablement, customer fulfilment, process simplification and branch network
Significant improvement in digital platforms across Merchant businesses with Wickes and Toolstation leveraging existing capabilities - underpinning market outperformance and supporting future growth
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Financial Review Alan Williams
Basis of results
Toolstation Europe consolidated from 01 October 2019 - £31m of revenue included in Toolstation total sales (not in LFL) - Expectation for £20m annualised losses unchanged
PF&P wholesale - sold in January 2020
Wickes demerger paused - numbers remain consolidated
Impacts of COVID-19 within adjusted figures
Restructuring costs taken as adjusting items
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Six months ended 30 June 2020 (£m unless otherwise stated) | HY 2020 | HY 2019 | Year-on-year change* |
Revenue | 2,781 | 3,484 | (20.2)% |
Like-for-like sales growth | (19.3)% | 5.3% | (24.6)ppts |
Adjusted EBITA | 42 | 220 | (80.9)% |
Adjusted earnings per share (pence) | 1.4p | 56.5p | (97.5)% |
Adjusting operating items | (129) | (154) | |
ROCE | 6.4% | 10.0% | (3.6)ppts |
Covenant net debt | 22 | 414 | (392) |
Dividends per share | - | 15.5p |
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Impressive Toolstation LFL performance in UK and EuropeWickes core DIY sales strong, K&B installation recovering steadilyAcross the Merchants, RMI recovered quicker, large projects and housebuilding lagging
LFL revenue growth | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 | H1 2020 |
Merchanting | (8.7)% | (42.8)% | (25.8)% |
Toolstation | 9.1% | 16.5% | 12.9% |
Retail | 4.5% | (19.8)% | (8.2)% |
Plumbing & Heating | (1.9)% | (48.4)% | (22.8)% |
Total Group | (3.8)% | (34.8)% | (19.3)% |
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Volume environment severely impacted by the pandemicImpact of sales price and mix changes netted out in the halfNetwork change includes PF&P sale and Toolstation Europe acquisitionModest impact in the period from branches closed in June
One additional trading day in all businesses, excluding COVID impact
H1 2019 gross margin
H1 2020gross margin
Annual volume
rebates
Supply chain
costs
Category mixSegmental mix
*Arrows are demonstrative and are not to scale
Overall Group gross margin unchanged on H1 2019 despite COVID related impacts:
- Positive segmental mix from relative strength of Retail and Toolstation
- Adverse category mix from greater proportion of heavyside and seasonal DIY sales
- Higher supply chain costs from warehouse inefficiency and more home delivery
- Lower expected Annual Volume Rebates from lower purchases
Expect same factors but to a lesser extent in H2 - gross margins to remain stable
Challenging market outlookTough but decisive actions takenSignificant P&L benefits
Significant uncertainty in the
UK economy from COVID and
Brexit
Cautious outlook for building
materials volumes in the short
to medium termRestructuring programme
addresses network capacity
and cost base to serve
anticipated demandTargeting 165 branch closures across Merchanting, P&H and
Tile Giant
Focus on small, subscale branchesAbove-branch cost rationalisation across all businesses and support functions
Targeting overall reduction in number of roles in the Group by 2,500
Expected to deliver £120m of annualised cost savingsMajority of actions completed by end August giving 4 months of benefit in 2020
Associated cash costs of around £85m, of which £35m in 2020
Future costs relate to property - broadly offset by selling closed freeholds sites
Ensuring the right network and cost base for current trading and as a platform for the future
One third of branches open during lockdown to support essential services - phased reopening in April and May
Gradual recovery of construction market - faster recovery in RMI, slower in housebuilding and larger projects
Despite lower overheads, high fixed costs resulted in reduction in operating profit
Branch network rationalised to focus operations from right-sized branches in optimised locations
*Divisional adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits **2019 branch network figures for comparison are taken at 31 December 2019
Double-digit like-for-like UK sales growth despite the disruption of lockdown
Successful pivot to digital trading with click & collect and direct delivery
ROCE
Toolstation Europe consolidated - strong revenue growth (56% LFL growth)
Branch network (Europe)** Memo:
Operating profit impact by higher cost of trading and impact of TSE losses
*Divisional adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits **2019 branch network figures for comparison are taken at 31 December 2019
UK Network expansion paused during lockdown - restarted with 19 branches opened in July and August (FY target 60)
Total revenue
Like-for-like growth
Adjusted operating profit*
Adjusted operating margin
Branch network (UK)**
Adjusted UK op profit
Leveraged integrated digital capabilities during lockdown with stores acting as fulfilment centres
Strong recovery led by DIY sales and exposure to RMI markets - LFL sales growth since June
Total revenue Like-for-like growth Adjusted operating profit* Adjusted operating margin ROCE
Gross margins flat - mix impact of K&B closure offset by lower promotional activity
Store network - Wickes** Store network - Tile Giant**
Reduction in operating profit margin as higher operating costs partially offset by rates relief
*Divisional adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits **2019 branch network figures for comparison are taken at 31 December 2019
Sales dropped to a third of prior year levels during lockdown
Slower recovery than general merchanting
Lower sales includes £100m y-o-y fromdisposal of PF&P wholesale
Total revenue Like-for-like growth Adjusted operating profit/(loss)*
Gross margins stable as sale of PF&P and recovery in small installer customers offset lower rebates
Adjusted operating margin ROCE
Restructuring actions expected to deliver c. £25m of annualised savings
*Divisional adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits **2019 branch network figures for comparison are taken at 31 December 2019
Branch network**
Strong free cash flow generation of
£305m
Significant working capital inflow:
−
Inventory reduced by £154m through reduced purchases and sharing stock between businesses
− Strong customer collections during lockdown period drove significant trade receivables reduction
−
£100m of VAT deferred to 2021
Capital expenditure - focusing on the priorities
Cash capex in H1 includes Wickes and
payment of some 2019 investments
Significant tightening of capex
investment since March
IT developments focused on smaller
scale, phased improvements - lower
capitalisation, more expensed
Toolstation network expansion back
underway from July, on track to open
60 new branches in 2020
Capex forecast for 2020 of £70-£80m
(£m) | H1 2020 | H1 2019 |
Maintenance | (22) | (22) |
IT | (3) | (12) |
Growth capex | (22) | (17) |
Base capital expenditure | (47) | (51) |
Freehold property | (12) | (9) |
Gross capital expenditure | (59) | (60) |
Disposals | 18 | 29 |
Net capital expenditure | (41) | (31) |
Receipt of £50m on the disposal of
PF&P wholesale in January
Net freehold transactions Acquisitions / disposals Dividends
Wickes demerger paused (£130m)
Cash costs of adjusting items modestly lower year-on-year
Cash payments on adjusting items Other
FY2019 final dividend payment suspended (£82m)
Stable leverage - reduction in net debt offset drop in earnings
Agreement with lenders in May to relax covenants for June and December 2020 assessment
*Leverage covenant for June 2020 was relaxed from 3.0x to 3.5x. It has been waived for December 2020
Free cash flow (£m)
Change in cash or cash equivalents
Outlook and technical guidance
Outlook:
Long term fundamentals remain strong, but significant uncertainty in the UK economyPositive catalysts from Government stimulus and strong domestic RMI / DIY recoveryRestructuring actions completed in August - annualised savings from SeptemberCautious on near-term volume, but business well placed to outperform the market
Technical guidance:
Effective tax rate of 22%
Finance charges expected to be similar to 2019
Base capital expenditure in 2020, including Wickes, in the range of £70m to £80m
Property profits likely to be around £10m
Operational Review & Strategic Update Nick Roberts
Introduction
COVID - immediate response to the pandemic to safely maintain our essential services
Accelerated elements of the strategic plan to strengthen the core of the business
Customer interactions changed during COVID - continue longer term strategic thinking to develop and exploit competitive advantages
Actions pre-lockdown
Focus on security of supply chain - particularly far east sourcing
Mobilising to move support functions to working from home
IT functionality to enable mass home working
Complex functions - e.g. credit control
Essential trading through lockdown
Essential service for UK Construction - keeping Britain warm, dry and maintained
Support of critical infrastructure e.g. Nightingale hospitals
"Service-light" model - contactless with customers
A third of Merchants open,
Wickes and Toolstation digital only
Focus on cash and liquidity
"Winning the Peace"
Early planning for "what comes after lockdown"
Use time and resources to drive improvements - acting at pace
Advance immediate and future customer propositions
Accelerated strategic progress towards Strengthening the Core
Long-lasting advancements, not just focused on short-term
Safety and wellbeing of colleagues, customers and suppliers the first priority throughout
3 4
TP general merchant - accelerating the strategy
Adapting quickly to continue to deliver outstanding customer service
● Speeded up range reviews
● Locally tailored product ranges
● Improved stock accuracy vital for click & collect
● Simplified supplier rebates providing clearer product pricing in branch
● Customer demand for digital relationship more immediate
● Developed click & collect service model
● Helping customers be more planned and efficient
● Use technology to enable colleagues
● Partnerships with suppliers absolutely key
● Managed stock across the network to maintain product availability
● Suppliers paid on time, in full
● Early payment support for SME suppliers
● Forecast for lower volume demand - reset capacity
● Accelerate subscale branch closures
● 82 TP branches closed in June
● Acceleration of expected network changes
Progress to enhance Merchanting digital capabilities
Digital capability in Merchanting much more than just the transaction
Transaction - strong rise in web sales
Shift in customer interaction with "in branch" not an option - higher short-term priority
Click & Collect proposition requires strong online platform
Better visibility of pricing, availability, delivery timing
Convenient, digitised relationship
Customer relationship much broader than the transactionSimplified account management:
● Invoice and proof of delivery
● Credit account settlement
Customer and colleague specific applications to improve productivity
More to do - challenges around efficiency of customer fulfilment
Toolhire partnership with
TP general merchant to offer bespoke customer proposition
New customer portal for account managementReorganisation of tender process
Deployed pricing templates to simplify and clarify customer pricing
Significant developments in BIM capabilities
Leveraged the digital developments across
Merchanting
Click & Collect proposition through a new web portal giving improved customer convenience
New strategic partnership with TP general merchantGreater sharing of systems and processes
More convenient for customers with single account view
P&H - providing essential support for installers
Consistent support for essential maintenance throughout lockdown
Improved digital capabilities: - Upgraded web platform and click & collect service - Success of pure online businesses e.g. Plumbnation
Good RMI recovery inc. Bathroom Showroom volumes
Closed 18 branches to optimise branch network and streamlined above-branch activities
Disposal of low-margin PF&P wholesale simplifies the businessContinue operational improvements to improve returns
UK: significant business developments
Pause to network expansion plans has not limited business improvementsBranch openings back underway: 19 since July, on track for 60 in 2020
Significant uplift in digital transactionsChallenges for customer fulfilment
Click & collect orders from 10% to > 90%
during the crisis
Unprecedented pressure on IT architecture
Rebuilt the web platform over Easter weekend
giving greater speed and more capacity
Replatformed the main IT architecture in
weeks
Dark stores acting as fulfilment centres Timed click & collect slots - "Drive Through" branch set up very successful
High volume of direct to home delivery created distribution centre constraints Repurposed Redditch DC for home delivery
Achieved impressive LFL growth with a stronger platform for the future
Europe: proposition gaining traction
Earlier impact of COVID in Europe - challenges of differing Government approachesCombination of strong multichannel digital capability, reliable stock levels and low pricing proving attractive to trade and DIY customers
Acquired a significant number of trade and retail customers - demonstrating "stickiness"
Network expansion delayed but back underway with 8 opened in H1
Targeting around 20 for 2020 overall
Total sales | Like-for-like | |
growth | sales growth | |
Netherlands & Belgium | 79% | 56% |
France | 74% | 61% |
Wickes - demonstrating benefits of digital integration
Agility stems from digitally-led business model - pivoted to 100% digital tradingStores acting as fulfilment centres for online trading channels
Unprecedented online demand
Re-invented K&B showroom journey
60,000+ orders per day for C&C or home delivery
Six months worth of C&C picks every six days+400% growth in online customers+100% increase in conversion rateOver 1 million new customers
Demand for improvements evident before reopening of stores
Distanced design appointments in-store Digitally enabled "home visits"
Rigorous installer procedures to operate in homes safely
Core DIY sales continuing strongly - local trade coming back to work
Healthy lead generation in K&B showroom since reopening
Important lessons learned
Decisions led by strong culture and values - maintaining safety, but committed to customers and fulfilling an essential service
An enormous amount can be achieved when we focus and act at paceFirst attempts aren't perfect
Model of trial, analyse and refine, and importantly - share
Able to adapt to new ways of working quickly
Much more technologically capable than we thought - including use of dataCollaboration between teams and businesses generates huge value
Inflection point in customer behaviour as a consequence of COVID
Strengthen the Core
Creating a modern merchantLeading partner for the construction industry
Get the fundamentals right
Regenerate the Travis Perkins general merchant
Accelerate growth of
Toolstation - UK and Europe
Organisational platform fit for the future
Accelerated the plan with lots still to do
MultichannelDigitally enabled
Collaboration between businesses
Customer intimate - "One customer view"
Leading, advantaged customer propositions
"How to partner with the breadth of our customer base to enable them to do more, more easily?
How do we enable them to grow their businesses in order to grow our business?"
Future strategic aims will be built on the foundations of a strong core
Maintained an essential service throughout - helping keep the
UK dry, warm and safe
Actions prioritised safety of colleagues, customers and suppliersOutstanding focus on cash flow and protecting liquidityEnforced, structural changes in customer behaviours - businesses rose to the challenge
Rapidly adapted business models to continue to deliver serviceAccelerated elements of the plan to Strengthen the Core
Early restructuring of the business to right-size the cost base and build resilience for the future
Although significant economic uncertainty remains, the Group well placed to use its advantages to outperform its markets
Questions
Appendices
Plumbing &Total revenue MerchantingToolstationRetail Heating | Group |
Volume Price and mix (25.5)% (0.3)% 14.4% (1.4)% (7.0)% (1.1)% (26.5)% 3.7% | (19.3)% - |
Like-for-like revenue growth (25.8)% 12.9% (8.2)% (22.8)% Network expansion and acquisitions / disposals (0.7)% 23.5% (0.8)% (11.2)% Trading days 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% | (19.3)% (1.5)% 0.6% |
Total revenue growth (25.9)% 37.0% (8.5)% (33.4)% | (20.2)% |
Merchanting
GeographyCategoryPaymentDelivery
Timber Forest 13% 9%
Northern 20.9%
Cash 23%
Collected 42%Midlands
27.5%
Heavyside 49%South West
21.2%
Credit 77%
Delivered 58%
Lightside 15%
South East 29.9%P&H Other 9% 5%
Toolstation
Geography
Northern 26.0%
Midlands 25.0%
South West 15.0%South East 34.0%
Category
Lightside 100%
Payment
Cash 100%
Delivery
Collected 79%Delivered 21%
Retail
Geography
Northern 20.0%Midlands 27.0%South West 16.0%South East 37.0%
Geography
Northern 32%Midlands 20%
South West 18%South East 27%
Category
Timber 16%Forest 10%
Heavyside 15%
Lightside 26%
P&H 32%
P&H
P&H
CategoryPaymentDelivery
Collected 63%Cash 90%
Delivered 37%
Credit 10%
PaymentDelivery
100.0% | |
Cash | Credit |
20% | 80% |
Collected | |
41% |
Delivered 59%
GeographyCategory
Timber
9%
Northern
23.0%
Forest
6%
Heavyside
23%
Midlands | South West | South East |
25.0% | 18.0% | 33.0% |
Lightside | P&H | |
25% | 34% |
Group
Cash
Credit
Payment
50%
50%
Collected
Delivered
Delivery
53%
47%
Construction output
Jun YTD
Trade confidenceExpected workload
(20)%
Q2 20 + 17pt
New construction orders
Q1 20 (32) pt
Q2 20 (45)%
Travis Perkins Benchmarx Keyline CCF
BSS & TF Solutions Merchanting Toolstation UK Toolstation Europe Toolstation
PTS
City Plumbing Other
P&H Wickes Tile Giant Retail Group
31-Dec-19 | 31-Jun-20 | |
642 181 56 42 64 | 2 2 (84) (35) (10) (7) (5) - - - - - | 560 148 46 35 59 |
985 | 4 (141) - | 848 |
400 66 |
8 - - | 409 74 |
466 | 18 (1) - | 483 |
64 296 15 | (8) (8) (5) - - - | 56 288 10 |
375 | -(21) - | 354 |
235 94 | (1) - - | 235 93 |
329 | - (1) - | 328 |
2155 | 22 (164) - | 2013 |
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 HY
Opening New Closures Closing
1,896 1,939 1,975 2,028 2,053 2,076 2,087 2,154
58 101 124 82 86 75 117 22
(15) (65) (71) (57) (63) (64) (50) (163)
1,939 1,975 2,028 2,053 2,076 2,087 2,154
2,013
Like-for-like sales by quarter:
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 | Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 Q2 2020 | |
Merchanting Toolstation Retail P&H 10.6% (7.9)% 19.7% 10.4% (6.0)% 8.4% (7.2)% | (0.5)% 5.5% 4.3% 20.1% 14.8% 5.2% 13.3% 3.5% 12.0% | 10.6% 19.1% 10.0% (4.0)% 2.7% 15.7% 9.4%
(3.9)% - 0.9% |
|
Group 3.0% 5.9% 4.1% 6.9% | 7.3% 3.4% 3.4% 1.2% | (3.8)% (34.8)% |
Like-for-like sales by half:
H1 2018 H2 2018 | FY 2018 | H1 2019 H2 2019 | FY 2019 | H1 2020 |
Merchanting Toolstation Retail P&H
| 3.6% 11.4% (4.3)% 16.1% |
| 3.3% 16.3% 8.6% (1.7)% | (25.8)% 12.9% (8.2)% (22.8)% |
Group 4.2% 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% 2.3% | 3.8% | (19.3)% |
Metric
Definition
Site visitorsSite reservationsMortgage approvalsHousing transactionsHousing pricesConsumer confidenceClimate for purchasesEquity withdrawalRetail sales growthArchitect work loadConstruction outputTrade confidenceExpected workloadNew construction ordersHouse Builders Federation Survey / monthly / July 2020 / Balance score compared to a year agoHouse Builders Federation Survey / monthly / July 2020 / Balance score compared to a year agoBank of England / monthly / July 20 / number of approvals % change year on yearHM Revenue & Customs / monthly / July 2020 / number of houses sold above £40k % change year on yearNationwide / monthly / August 2020 / house price inflation % change year on yearGFK / monthly / August 2020 / index scoreGFK / monthly / August 2020 / index scoreBank of England / quarterly / Q1 2020 / Change in Equity withdrawal as % of net earnings compared to previous quarterBritish Retail Consortium / monthly / July 2020 / LFL % change year on yearMirza and Nacey Survey / quarterly / Q2 2020 / Index - balance scoreConstruction output YTD ONS / monthly / June 2020 / % change year on yearTravis Perkins survey materials spend / quarterly movement / Q2 2020 view of Q3 2020
Federation of Master Builders / quarterly movement / Q1 2020 view of Q2 2020 / Balance score (publish later than TP survey, smaller sample of ~400)
Office for National Statistics / quarterly SA / Q2 2020 / % change year on year
Metric Definition | |
Operating profit | Earnings before results of associates, interest, tax and amortisation of acquisition-related intangible assets |
Earning per share ("EPS") | Ratio of net profit after taxation adjusted for minority interests to weighted number of ordinary shares outstanding |
Adjusted operating profit / Adjusted EPS | Operating profit / EPS before adjusting items and amortisation of acquisition-related intangible assets |
ROCE | Ratio of adjusted operating profit to debt plus equity |
Covenant net debt | On-balance sheet debt excluding lease liabilities and pension SPV liability |
Net debt | On-balance sheet debt including lease liabilities |
Gearing | Ratio of debt to equity plus debt |
Fixed charge cover | Ratio of adjusted operating profit before depreciation to interest plus lease right-of-use asset depreciation |
Net Debt : EBITDA | Ratio of Net debt to earnings before adjusting items, interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation |
Free cash flow ("FCF") | Net cash flow before dividends, capital expenditure, freehold acquisitions and disposals, pension deficit contributions & financing cash flows |
Total Shareholder Return ("TSR") | Ratio of opening market price per share to closing market price per share less opening market price per share plus dividends per share during the period |
WALE | Weighted average expiry of property leases |
Contact
Graeme Barnes | +44 7469 401 819graeme.barnes@travisperkins.co.ukHeinrich Richter | +44 7392 125 417heinrich.richter2@travisperkins.co.uk
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Disclaimer
Travis Perkins plc published this content on 08 September 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 08 September 2020 18:19:05 UTC