Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet - Essity AB
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 29,379 27,442 23,957
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 10.68% -6.59% -12.7%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 8,066 8,173 8,581
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 13.77% 1.32% 4.99%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 8,830 10,862 11,565
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 5.51% 23% 6.48%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.75% 17.61% 18.14%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 11.7% 12.37% 12.94%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 10.59% 11.7% 12.37%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 7.82% 8.59% 9.1%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 6.26% 7.35% 7.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 80.13% 85.56% 83.68%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7% 7.36% 7.81%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 14.05% 13.92% 14.13%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.17x 1.05x 0.87x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 3.33x 2.53x 2.07x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.72% 5.53% 5.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 32.24% 31.39% 31.16%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 91.35% 75.24% 74.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 24.23 28.72 31.44
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 8.01% 18.52% 9.47%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 8.75 9.138 9.634 10.18
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% 6.06% 4.44% 5.43% 5.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 136.7 145.2 156.8
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 9.97% 6.24% 8%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 16.35 19.02 20.81
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -11.02% 16.37% 9.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 673,632 673,632 673,632
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.9x 14.5x
PBR 2.02x 1.9x
EV / Sales 1.53x 1.45x
Yield 3.3% 3.48%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Essity AB


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Essity AB
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Essity AB
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Essity AB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
276.60SEK
Average target price
270.13SEK
Spread / Average Target
-2.34%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Essity AB